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Ligue 2

Toulouse

S U S S S

1–0

Full-time

Paris FC

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Paris FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 53%

53%

Points per game

1,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

59%

Both score Ø 50%

53%

47%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 6

5 Corners 2

16 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Toulouse 3. · Paris FC 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Grenoble	17	10	4	3	+15	34
2	Troyes	17	10	4	3	+11	34
3	Toulouse	17	9	5	3	+13	32
4	Auxerre	17	9	4	4	+15	31
5	Paris FC	17	9	4	4	+7	31
6	Clermont	17	8	6	3	+12	30
7	Caen	17	7	5	5	-1	26
8	Sochaux	17	5	9	3	+7	24
9	Valenciennes	17	6	6	5	+2	24
10	Niort	17	7	3	7	-7	24
11	Amiens	17	6	5	6	+2	23
12	Dunkerque	17	6	2	9	-5	20
13	Le Havre	17	5	5	7	-7	20
14	Ajaccio	17	4	6	7	-10	18
15	Guingamp	17	3	7	7	-6	16
16	Chambly	17	3	7	7	-9	16
17	Nancy	17	3	5	9	-7	14
18	Pau FC	17	3	5	9	-10	14
19	Rodez	17	2	8	7	-11	14
20	Chateauroux	17	3	4	10	-11	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Grenoble	8	7	1	0	+14	22
2	Troyes	8	6	2	0	+8	20
3	Auxerre	9	6	1	2	+14	19
4	Paris FC	9	5	2	2	+3	17
5	Caen	9	4	4	1	+1	16
6	Clermont	8	4	3	1	+7	15
7	Toulouse	9	4	3	2	+5	15
8	Niort	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Amiens	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Sochaux	8	3	3	2	+3	12
11	Valenciennes	8	3	3	2	+1	12
12	Dunkerque	9	3	2	4	+0	11
13	Le Havre	8	2	4	2	+0	10
14	Chambly	9	3	1	5	-4	10
15	Guingamp	8	2	3	3	-1	9
16	Nancy	8	2	3	3	-2	9
17	Pau FC	8	2	3	3	-2	9
18	Rodez	9	2	3	4	-4	9
19	Ajaccio	8	2	3	3	-4	9
20	Chateauroux	9	2	1	6	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	8	5	2	1	+8	17
2	Clermont	9	4	3	2	+5	15
3	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	+4	14
4	Troyes	9	4	2	3	+3	14
5	Sochaux	9	2	6	1	+4	12
6	Valenciennes	9	3	3	3	+1	12
7	Auxerre	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Grenoble	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Amiens	8	3	1	4	+1	10
10	Caen	8	3	1	4	-2	10
11	Le Havre	9	3	1	5	-7	10
12	Dunkerque	8	3	0	5	-5	9
13	Ajaccio	9	2	3	4	-6	9
14	Niort	8	3	0	5	-10	9
15	Guingamp	9	1	4	4	-5	7
16	Chateauroux	8	1	3	4	-4	6
17	Chambly	8	0	6	2	-5	6
18	Nancy	9	1	2	6	-5	5
19	Rodez	8	0	5	3	-7	5
20	Pau FC	9	1	2	6	-8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.