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Süper Lig
Referee: Sarper Barıs Saka
2–2
Full-time
Sivasspor
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yeni Malatyaspor Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
33%
27%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
40%
Both score Ø 57%
60%
53%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Yeni Malatyaspor 9. · Sivasspor 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 15 10 1 4 +12 31
2 Alanyaspor 16 9 3 4 +15 30
3 Galatasaray 15 9 3 3 +15 30
4 Fenerbahce 15 9 2 4 +10 29
5 Gaziantep 15 7 7 1 +11 28
6 Hatayspor 15 8 3 4 +5 27
7 Trabzonspor 16 6 5 5 -2 23
8 Karagumruk 15 5 6 4 +5 21
9 Yeni Malatyaspor 15 5 5 5 -1 20
10 Rizespor 15 5 5 5 -2 20
11 Goztep 15 4 7 4 +3 19
12 Konyaspor 15 5 4 6 +3 19
13 Kasimpasa 16 5 4 7 -8 19
14 Sivasspor 15 4 6 5 -3 18
15 Antalyaspor 16 4 6 6 -9 18
16 Buyuksehyr 15 4 4 7 -6 16
17 Genclerbirligi 15 4 4 7 -9 16
18 Ankaragücü 15 4 3 8 -4 15
19 Denizlispor 15 3 4 8 -10 13
20 Erzurumspor 16 3 4 9 -13 13
21 Kayserispor 15 2 4 9 -12 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Yeni Malatyaspor Sivasspor
18′
E. Yeşilyurt 0–1
R. Yalçın
1–1 M. Fofana
I. Chebake
25′
Jetmir Topalli 🟨
29′
30′
🟨 Uğur Çiftçi
32′
M. Gradel 1–2
E. Yeşilyurt
Wallace 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–2
K. Kanatsızkuş 🔁
↦ J. Topalli
46′
Afriyie Acquah 🟨
52′
2–2 B. Tetteh
63′
J. Lukoki 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
65′
68′
🔁 Jorge Félix
↦ F. Fajr
U. Bulut 🔁
↦ A. Acquah
81′
81′
🔁 O. Kayode
↦ M. Gradel
O. Şahan 🔁
↦ A. Ildız
88′
93′
🔁 Z. Erdal
↦ E. Yeşilyurt
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Yeni Malatyaspor

4-2-3-1
25 E. Özbir G
26 S. Kaya D
57 I. Chebake D
92 B. Cevahir D
13 Wallace D
6 A. Acquah M
20 A. Ildız M
99 A. Büyük M
21 M. Fofana M
19 B. Tetteh F
98 J. Topalli M
Bench (10)
90 K. Kanatsızkuş
11 J. Lukoki
9 U. Bulut
24 O. Şahan
77 M. Eskihellaç
39 E. Kaş
55 Y. Ndayishimiye
61 Z. Yavru
1 A. Damlu
17 T. Hadebe

Coach: H. Hamzaoğlu

Sivasspor

4-1-4-1
35 A. Vural G
88 C. Osmanpaşa D
3 U. Çiftçi D
4 A. Appindangoye D
6 Claudemir M
37 H. Arslan M
76 F. Fajr M
8 R. Yalçın D
17 E. Yeşilyurt M
9 M. Yatabaré F
7 M. Gradel M
Bench (10)
11 Jorge Félix
80 O. Kayode
58 Z. Erdal
2 A. Koné
14 S. Camara
25 M. Yıldırım
10 Y. Öztekin
19 K. Şahin
30 M. Samassa
29 C. Ninga

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,71
U ✓
3,12
B
2,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,65
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.