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Ligue 2
Paris FC
S S U U S
2–0
Full-time
Ajaccio
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,7
0,8
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 55%
55%
55%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 23%
36%
9%
Both score Ø 30%
45%
14%
Average goals
2,3
1,4
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
0,9
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

8 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 7
8 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris FC 3. · Ajaccio 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Toulouse 23 12 9 2 +29 45
2 Ajaccio 22 12 6 4 +11 42
3 Paris FC 22 12 5 5 +10 41
4 Sochaux 23 11 8 4 +6 41
5 Auxerre 23 10 8 5 +9 38
6 Niort 22 10 5 7 +6 35
7 Le Havre 23 8 11 4 +6 35
8 Nimes 23 9 5 9 +2 32
9 Pau FC 23 8 5 10 -3 29
10 Rodez 23 7 8 8 -3 29
11 Dijon 23 9 2 12 -4 29
12 Quevilly Rouen 23 7 7 9 -8 28
13 Guingamp 23 6 9 8 -7 27
14 Amiens 23 5 11 7 +5 26
15 Caen 23 6 8 9 +0 26
16 Valenciennes 23 6 8 9 -8 26
17 Bastia 23 5 10 8 -1 25
18 Grenoble 22 6 4 12 -11 22
19 Dunkerque 23 5 6 12 -12 21
20 Nancy 23 3 7 13 -27 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
U
2,95
B
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,56
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.