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Ligue 2
Ajaccio
U S T S
1–0
Full-time
Paris FC
T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 3
18 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajaccio 8. · Paris FC 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Clermont 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Lorient 4 3 1 0 +5 10
3 Le Havre 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Chambly 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Niort 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Rodez 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Lens 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Ajaccio 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Valenciennes 4 2 1 1 +1 7
10 Nancy 4 1 3 0 +1 6
11 Caen 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Sochaux 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Guingamp 4 1 2 1 -1 5
14 Troyes 4 1 1 2 +0 4
15 Auxerre 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Grenoble 4 0 3 1 -1 3
17 Orleans 4 0 1 3 -3 1
18 Paris FC 4 0 1 3 -5 1
19 Chateauroux 4 0 1 3 -7 1
20 Le Mans 4 0 0 4 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,16
U
2,87
B
3,87
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,98
U2,5 ✓
1,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.