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Ligue 2
Referee: O Thual
Nimes
T S S T U
1–2
Full-time
St Etienne
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 28%
26%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 24
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nimes 17. · St Etienne 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 24 14 9 1 +24 51
2 Bordeaux 24 12 6 6 +14 42
3 Sochaux 24 12 5 7 +16 41
4 Metz 24 10 8 6 +11 38
5 Grenoble 24 10 7 7 +4 37
6 Caen 24 9 9 6 +4 36
7 Quevilly Rouen 24 9 8 7 +3 35
8 Bastia 24 10 5 9 -3 35
9 Amiens 23 9 6 8 +0 33
10 Annecy 24 8 8 8 +4 32
11 Guingamp 24 8 7 9 -3 31
12 Laval 24 9 4 11 -6 31
13 Valenciennes 24 7 9 8 -5 30
14 Paris FC 23 7 7 9 -6 28
15 St Etienne 23 7 6 10 -5 27
16 Pau FC 24 6 9 9 -8 27
17 Nimes 23 6 5 12 -11 23
18 Niort 24 6 5 13 -15 23
19 Dijon 24 5 7 12 -8 22
20 Rodez 24 4 10 10 -10 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nimes St Etienne
33′
🟨 Niels Nkounkou
34′
N. Nkounkou 0–1
J. Krasso
Half-time 0–2
51′
I. Wadji 0–2
N. Nkounkou
Steve Ambri 🔁
↦ N. Benezet
59′
M. Tchokounté 🔁
↦ R. Saïd
59′
G. Fofana 🔁
↦ J. Lopy
59′
M. Koné 🔁
↦ L. Mousset
67′
1–2 M. Tchokounté
P. Pagis
68′
70′
🔁 L. Fomba
↦ N. Nkounkou
70′
🔁 M. Nadé
↦ B. Bouchouari
81′
🟨 Thomas Monconduit
84′
🟨 Ibrahima Wadji
K. Guessoum 🔁
↦ R. Labonne
86′
Patrick Burner 🟨
87′
91′
🔁 L. Pintor
↦ I. Wadji
91′
🔁 D. Chambost
↦ T. Monconduit
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Nimes

4-2-3-1
16 L. Dias G
17 R. Labonne D
4 M. de Gevigney D
19 N. Djiga D
97 P. Burner D
28 J. Lopy M
21 J. N'Guessan M
15 R. Saïd M
11 P. Pagis M
10 N. Benezet M
7 L. Mousset F
Bench (7)
9 Steve Ambri
18 M. Tchokounté
76 G. Fofana
65 M. Koné
2 K. Guessoum
14 J. Thomasen
1 A. Maraval

Coach: F. Bompard

St Etienne

3-5-2
30 G. Larsonneur G
4 S. Sow D
23 A. Briançon D
19 L. Pétrot D
8 D. Appiah M
6 B. Bouchouari M
7 T. Monconduit M
22 V. Lobry M
27 N. Nkounkou M
17 J. Krasso F
25 I. Wadji F
Bench (7)
26 L. Fomba
3 M. Nadé
15 L. Pintor
14 D. Chambost
21 M. Pavlović
16 B. Fall
5 J. Giraudon

Coach: L. Batlles

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,56
U
3,29
B ✓
2,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.