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Ligue 2
Referee: M Vernice
St Etienne
T U U U T
1–1
Full-time
Nimes
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Nimes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%
13 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 15. · Nimes 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Metz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Laval 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Niort 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Caen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Bordeaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Valenciennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Grenoble 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Sochaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Rodez 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 St Etienne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Annecy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Nimes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Amiens 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Pau FC 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Nimes
32′
J. Thomasen 0–1
T. Vargas
1–1 J. Krasso
45′
Half-time 1–1
Yvan Neyou 🟨
46′
Sergi Palencia 🟨
58′
M. Cafaro 🔁
↦ A. Aiki
58′
M. Rivera 🔁
↦ A. Aouchiche
63′
64′
🔁 Y. Benrahou
↦ M. Koné
64′
🔁 E. Ómarsson
↦ M. Tchokounté
A. Moueffek 🔁
↦ V. Lobry
78′
L. Mouton 🔁
↦ Y. Neyou
79′
81′
🔁 L. Delpech
↦ J. Thomasen
81′
🔁 R. Labonne
↦ J. NGuessan
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-3-3
42 E. Green G
13 Sergi Palencia D
5 J. Giraudon D
3 M. Nadé D
11 Gabriel Silva D
8 M. Camara M
19 Y. Neyou M
22 V. Lobry M
70 A. Aouchiche F
17 J. Krasso F
39 A. Aiki F
Bench (7)
18 M. Cafaro
30 M. Rivera
29 A. Moueffek
37 L. Mouton
50 N. Raveyre
36 A. Bakayoko
4 S. Sow

Coach: L. Batlles

Nimes

5-3-2
16 L. Dias G
8 T. Vargas D
4 M. de Gevigney D
6 B. Poulain D
2 K. Guessoum D
7 N. Eliasson D
21 J. N'Guessan M
12 L. Fomba M
14 J. Thomasen M
65 M. Koné F
18 M. Tchokounté F
Bench (7)
22 Y. Benrahou
9 E. Ómarsson
20 L. Delpech
17 R. Labonne
3 S. Sadzoute
97 P. Burner
1 A. Maraval

Coach: N. Usaï

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,73
U ✓
3,60
B
4,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Vernice · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.