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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Grenoble
S T T U T
0–2
Full-time
Guingamp
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grenoble Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
30%
46%
Both score Ø 42%
27%
57%
Average goals
1,8
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grenoble 10. · Guingamp 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 37 19 15 3 +26 72
2 Metz 37 19 12 6 +27 69
3 Bordeaux 37 20 9 8 +24 69
4 Bastia 37 17 9 11 +8 60
5 Caen 37 16 11 10 +10 59
6 St Etienne 37 14 11 12 +4 53
7 Sochaux 37 15 7 15 +15 52
8 Guingamp 37 14 10 13 +3 52
9 Paris FC 37 14 10 13 +1 52
10 Grenoble 37 14 9 14 -1 51
11 Quevilly Rouen 37 12 13 12 -2 49
12 Amiens 37 13 8 16 -11 47
13 Valenciennes 37 10 15 12 -5 45
14 Annecy 37 11 12 14 -11 45
15 Pau FC 37 11 11 15 -13 44
16 Rodez 37 10 13 14 -6 43
17 Laval 37 13 4 20 -13 43
18 Dijon 37 10 12 15 -4 42
19 Nimes 37 9 6 22 -20 33
20 Niort 37 7 7 23 -32 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grenoble Guingamp
11′
A. El Ouazzani 0–1
J. Livolant
Mathys Tourraine 🟨
13′
Half-time 1–1
54′
B. Maubleu 1–1
own goal
O. Inikurogha 🔁
↦ P. Ba
56′
Mamadou Diarra 🟨
67′
J. Jeno 🔁
↦ A. Monfray
71′
71′
🔁 M. Merghem
↦ A. El Ouazzani
74′
🟨 Tristan Muyumba
76′
🔁 H. Picard
↦ B. Guillaume
M. D'Antona 🔁
↦ A. Sbaï
77′
J. Correa 🔁
↦ J. Tell
77′
84′
🔁 M. Barthelmé
↦ J. Livolant
84′
🔁 W. Tchimbembé
↦ T. Muyumba
84′
🔁 V. Manceau
↦ M. Sivis
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Grenoble

4-2-3-1
1 Brice Maubleu G
39 Mathys Tourraine D
66 Mamadou Diarra D
21 Allan Tchaptchet D
77 Arial Mendy D
5 Adrien Monfray M
34 Baptiste Isola M
97 Jordan Tell M
11 Mohamed Amine Sbai M
7 Matthias Phaeton M
28 Pape Meissa Ba F
Bench (7)
35 Philip Okardi
15 Abiezer Jeno
80 Joris Correa
33 Matteo D'Antona
30 Esteban Salles
3 Bart Straalman
29 Gaëtan Paquiez

Coach: V. Hognon

Guingamp

4-2-3-1
16 Enzo Basilio G
27 Maxime Sivis D
7 Donatien Gomis D
26 Mathis Riou D
11 Stephen Quemper D
6 Tristan Muyumba M
4 Dylan Louiserre M
9 Amine El Ouazzani M
18 Gaëtan Courtet M
29 Jérémy Livolant M
21 Baptiste Guillaume F
Bench (7)
10 Mehdi Merghem
20 Hugo Picard
15 Vincent Manceau
28 Maxime Barthelmé
12 Warren Tchimbembé
30 Dominique Youfeigane
2 Baptiste Roux

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,96
U
3,47
B ✓
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.