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Ligue 2
Referee: O Thual
St Etienne
S S S T U
3–2
Full-time
Guingamp
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 60%
61%
58%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

63% Possession 37%
14 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 8. · Guingamp 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 33 18 14 1 +28 68
2 Bordeaux 34 19 8 7 +22 65
3 Metz 33 16 11 6 +23 59
4 Bastia 33 15 8 10 +4 53
5 Sochaux 33 15 7 11 +19 52
6 Caen 34 14 10 10 +6 52
7 Grenoble 33 14 8 11 +2 50
8 St Etienne 33 12 10 11 +2 46
9 Guingamp 33 12 9 12 +1 45
10 Quevilly Rouen 33 11 12 10 +1 45
11 Paris FC 33 12 8 13 -1 44
12 Rodez 33 10 11 12 -4 41
13 Amiens 33 11 8 14 -9 41
14 Pau FC 33 10 10 13 -9 40
15 Valenciennes 33 8 13 12 -8 37
16 Annecy 33 9 10 14 -13 37
17 Dijon 33 8 10 15 -8 34
18 Laval 33 10 4 19 -14 34
19 Nimes 33 9 5 19 -15 32
20 Niort 33 7 6 20 -27 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Guingamp
12′
A. El Ouazzani 0–1
1–1 A. Moueffek
L. Fomba
21′
43′
🟨 Maxime Sivis
Lamine Fomba 🟨
44′
45′
G. Courtet 1–2
J. Livolant
Half-time 1–2
Abdoul Kader Bamba 🟨
53′
I. Wadji 🔁
↦ V. Lobry
53′
T. Monconduit 🔁
↦ L. Fomba
53′
B. Bouchouari 🔁
↦ A. Moueffek
69′
D. Chambost 🔁
↦ K. Bamba
69′
70′
🟨 Gaëtan Courtet
70′
🔁 H. Picard
↦ B. Guillaume
77′
🔁 T. Luvambo
↦ J. Livolant
2–2 M. Cafaro
82′
87′
🔁 W. Tchimbembé
↦ A. El Ouazzani
3–2 I. Wadji
N. Nkounkou
88′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

St Etienne

3-5-2
30 G. Larsonneur G
8 D. Appiah D
4 S. Sow D
19 L. Pétrot D
18 M. Cafaro M
29 A. Moueffek M
26 L. Fomba M
22 V. Lobry M
27 N. Nkounkou M
17 J. Krasso F
11 K. Bamba F
Bench (7)
25 I. Wadji
7 T. Monconduit
6 B. Bouchouari
14 D. Chambost
3 M. Nadé
42 E. Green
5 J. Giraudon

Coach: L. Batlles

Guingamp

4-2-3-1
30 D. Youfeigane G
27 M. Sivis D
7 D. Gomis D
22 L. Mbe Soh D
25 J. Gaudin D
6 T. Muyumba M
4 D. Louiserre M
9 A. El Ouazzani M
18 G. Courtet M
29 J. Livolant M
21 B. Guillaume F
Bench (7)
20 H. Picard
23 T. Luvambo
12 W. Tchimbembé
28 M. Barthelmé
26 M. Riou
15 V. Manceau
50 E. Jaouen

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
4,03
B
5,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,08
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.