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Ligue 2
Referee: O Thual
Troyes
S S U S T
4–0
Full-time
Martigues
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Martigues
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 20%
27%
13%
Points per game
1,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
53%
40%
Both score Ø 24%
20%
27%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
22 Shots 7
16 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 11
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 16. · Martigues 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 15 9 4 2 +13 31
2 Lorient 15 9 3 3 +13 30
3 Metz 15 8 4 3 +11 28
4 Dunkerque 15 9 1 5 +3 28
5 Annecy 15 7 5 3 +5 26
6 Guingamp 15 8 1 6 +6 25
7 Amiens 15 7 2 6 +1 23
8 Laval 15 6 4 5 +6 22
9 Rodez 15 5 4 6 +3 19
10 Bastia 15 3 10 2 +0 19
11 Pau FC 15 5 4 6 -2 19
12 Grenoble 15 5 3 7 +0 18
13 Clermont 15 4 4 7 -5 16
14 Caen 15 4 3 8 -4 15
15 Ajaccio 15 4 3 8 -6 15
16 Troyes 15 4 3 8 -8 15
17 Red Star 15 4 3 8 -14 15
18 Martigues 15 2 3 10 -22 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Martigues
Rafiki Saïd
penalty missed
8′
1–0 C. Irié
R. Saïd
20′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 O. Mendy
↦ P. Ouotro
2–0 R. Saïd
M. Diop
47′
56′
🟨 Luan Gautier
70′
🔁 A. Ipiélé
↦ M. Robin
70′
🔁 Y. Hadjem
↦ M. Bamba
70′
🔁 O. Orinel
↦ K. Tlili
K. Dong 🔁
↦ R. Saïd
71′
M. Adeline 🔁
↦ M. Diop
71′
3–0 C. Irié
M. Adeline
72′
4–0 M. Adeline
I. Boura
76′
J. Assoumou 🔁
↦ C. Irié
79′
82′
🔁 S. Belloumou
↦ M. Siby
X. Chavalerin 🔁
↦ Y. MChangama
87′
P. Ba 🔁
↦ R. Ripart
87′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Troyes

4-1-4-1
16 N. Lemaître G
17 Houboulang Mendes D
6 A. Monfray D
4 J. Diaz D
14 I. Boura D
10 Y. M'Changama M
21 C. Irié M
8 M. Diop M
42 A. Kanté M
11 R. Saïd M
20 R. Ripart F
Bench (7)
27 K. Dong
24 M. Adeline
15 J. Assoumou
7 X. Chavalerin
25 P. Ba
18 T. Baldé
1 Z. Boucher

Coach: S. Dumont

Martigues

4-1-4-1
40 Y. Marillat G
22 A. Djaha D
34 L. Gautier D
5 S. Falette D
18 A. Amraoui D
6 F. Kembolo M
12 M. Robin M
41 M. Bamba M
23 M. Siby M
10 K. Tlili M
19 P. Ouotro F
Bench (7)
29 O. Mendy
27 A. Ipiélé
21 Y. Hadjem
7 O. Orinel
26 S. Belloumou
50 A. Anzimati
36 M. Camara

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,46
U
4,17
B
6,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,80
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.