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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Mechelen
T S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Antwerp
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 12/10 matches
Win Ø 52%
33%
70%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
58%
60%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,87 xG 1,25
51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 8. · Antwerp 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 12 8 3 1 +19 +12.5 27
2 Genk 12 8 2 2 +10 +14.3 26
3 Antwerp 10 7 2 1 +17 +4.8 23
4 Anderlecht 12 6 5 1 +15 +8.2 23
5 Gent 12 6 3 3 +13 -1.4 21
6 St. Gilloise 11 3 6 2 +3 +4.1 15
7 Charleroi 10 4 2 4 +1 +2.3 14
8 Mechelen 12 4 2 6 +0 -2.1 14
9 Dender 11 3 5 3 -3 -4.6 14
10 Standard 10 4 2 4 -8 -5.8 14
11 St Truiden 14 3 4 7 -16 -4.2 13
12 Westerlo 11 3 3 5 +0 +1.3 12
13 Cercle Brugge 13 3 3 7 -13 -7.8 12
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 1 7 3 -3 +2.3 10
15 Kortrijk 14 3 1 10 -20 -10.7 10
16 Beerschot VA 13 1 4 8 -15 -13.2 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Antwerp
45′
A. Touba 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
B. Raman 🔁
↦ A. Ouattara
46′
57′
🔁 A. Verstraeten
↦ J. Riedewald
Benito Raman 🟨
66′
B. Bafdili 🔁
↦ L. Lauberbach
67′
P. Dahl 🔁
↦ T. Raemaekers
67′
J. Ngoy 🔁
↦ B. Raman
71′
78′
🟨 Denis Odoi
2–0 B. Van den Eynden
G. Hairemans
79′
82′
🔁 J. Ondrejka
↦ T. Chery
S. Walsh 🔁
↦ R. Belghali
88′
89′
🟨 Anthony Valencia
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

3-4-2-1
1 O. De Wolf G
4 T. Raemaekers D
29 B. Van den Eynden D
6 A. Touba D
17 R. Belghali M
32 A. Ouattara M
16 R. Schoofs M
3 José Marsà M
7 G. Hairemans F
19 K. Mrabti F
20 L. Lauberbach F
Bench (9)
14 B. Raman
35 B. Bafdili
10 P. Dahl
9 J. Ngoy
5 S. Walsh
26 N. Makanza
15 Y. Thoelen
33 L. Baert
77 P. Pflücke

Coach: B. Hasi

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
91 S. Lammens G
2 K. Corbanie D
23 T. Alderweireld D
33 Z. Van den Bosch D
25 J. Bataille D
6 D. Odoi M
4 J. Riedewald M
14 A. Valencia M
8 D. Praet M
9 T. Chery M
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (9)
75 A. Verstraeten
11 J. Ondrejka
79 G. Vandeplas
1 J. Butez
22 F. Adekami
26 R. Bozhinov
19 V. Udoh
5 A. Costa
54 S. Renders

Coach: J. De Roeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,45
U ✓
3,51
B
2,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.