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Ligue 2
Referee: Thierry Bouille
Laval
S T S S T
1–2
Full-time
Dunkerque
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Laval Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 29%
19%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
25%
56%
Both score Ø 44%
31%
56%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
4 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Laval 17. · Dunkerque 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 16 9 5 2 +13 32
2 St Etienne 16 9 2 5 +10 29
3 Reims 16 8 4 4 +12 28
4 Red Star 15 8 4 3 +6 28
5 Le Mans 16 7 6 3 +4 27
6 Pau FC 16 7 5 4 -1 26
7 Dunkerque 16 6 6 4 +9 24
8 Montpellier 16 7 3 6 +2 24
9 Guingamp 16 6 5 5 -4 23
10 Annecy 16 6 4 6 +4 22
11 Grenoble 16 5 5 6 -2 20
12 Clermont 16 4 7 5 -4 19
13 Rodez 16 4 6 6 -6 18
14 Boulogne 16 4 4 8 -7 16
15 Amiens 16 4 3 9 -6 15
16 Nancy 16 4 3 9 -8 15
17 Laval 16 3 6 7 -8 15
18 Bastia 15 1 4 10 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Laval Dunkerque
Joseph Samb 🟨
7′
1–0 E. Clavreul
T. Vargas
18′
Yohan Tavares 🟨
33′
35′
T. Robinet 1–1
Yohan Tavares 🟨
44′
Yohan Tavares 🟥
44′
Half-time 1–1
W. Benard 🔁
↦ J. Maggiotti
46′
50′
🟨 Geoffrey Kondo
53′
🟨 Victor Mayela
58′
T. Robinet 1–2
G. Yassine
71′
🔁 A. Linguet
↦ P. Diong
71′
🔁 M. Diop
↦ A. Sekongo
E. Maddy 🔁
↦ T. Vargas
72′
M. Tchokounte 🔁
↦ M. Camara
72′
81′
🔁 M. Essimi
↦ A. Zossou
M. Sellouki 🔁
↦ C. Mandouki
85′
A. Faurand-Tournaire 🔁
↦ E. Clavreul
85′
86′
🔁 A. Daho
↦ G. Yassine
86′
🔁 E. Sylvestre
↦ E. Bardeli
William Benard 🟨
87′
92′
🟨 Alex Daho
97′
🟨 Malick Diop
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Laval

4-4-2
30 M. Samassa G
4 P. Ouaneh D
23 Y. Tavares D
3 W. Bianda D
35 L. Samb D
7 T. Vargas M
6 S. Sanna M
14 C. Mandouki M
20 E. Clavreul M
9 M. Camara F
28 J. Maggiotti F
Bench (7)
1 M. Hautbois
2 T. Pellenard
26 W. Benard
10 M. Sellouki
27 A. Faurand-Tournaire
34 E. Maddy
18 M. Tchokounte

Coach: Olivier Frapolli

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
60 M. Niflore G
2 A. Georgen D
23 V. Sasso D
22 V. Mayela D
21 G. Kondo D
6 P. Diong M
80 G. Yassine M
8 A. Sekongo M
20 E. Bardeli M
77 A. Zossou M
9 T. Robinet F
Bench (7)
1 M. Lavin
27 A. Linguet
18 M. Diop
11 A. Daho
10 M. Essimi
19 A. Kante
7 E. Sylvestre

Coach: Albert Sánchez Saura

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,14
U
3,06
B ✓
2,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.