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Ligue 2
Referee: Florent Batta
Rodez
T S U T U
2–1
Full-time
Guingamp
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
44%
69%
Both score Ø 60%
63%
56%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
16 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 10
1 Offside 2
23 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rodez 13. · Guingamp 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 16 9 5 2 +13 32
2 St Etienne 16 9 2 5 +10 29
3 Reims 16 8 4 4 +12 28
4 Red Star 15 8 4 3 +6 28
5 Le Mans 16 7 6 3 +4 27
6 Pau FC 16 7 5 4 -1 26
7 Dunkerque 16 6 6 4 +9 24
8 Montpellier 16 7 3 6 +2 24
9 Guingamp 16 6 5 5 -4 23
10 Annecy 16 6 4 6 +4 22
11 Grenoble 16 5 5 6 -2 20
12 Clermont 16 4 7 5 -4 19
13 Rodez 16 4 6 6 -6 18
14 Boulogne 16 4 4 8 -7 16
15 Amiens 16 4 3 9 -6 15
16 Nancy 16 4 3 9 -8 15
17 Laval 16 3 6 7 -8 15
18 Bastia 15 1 4 10 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Guingamp
16′
🟨 Jérémy Hatchi
Jordan Mendes Correia 🟨
24′
33′
🟨 Jérémy Hatchi
33′
🟥 Jérémy Hatchi
1–0 R. Lipinski
E. Jean-Lambert
39′
Half-time 1–0
Clément Jolibois 🟨
63′
68′
🔁 S. Kielt
↦ F. Mbemba
T. Arconte 🔁
↦ K. Nagera
70′
O. Joly 🔁
↦ J. Mendes
71′
2–0 I. Balde
74′
78′
🔁 A. Abdallah
↦ D. Ourega
78′
🔁 G. Ott
↦ L. Mafouta
79′
🔁 T. Ahile
↦ D. Louiserre
79′
🔁 D. N'Landu
↦ K. Sidibe
80′
🟨 Gauthier Ott
Octave Joly 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Amadou Sagna
87′
S. Kielt 2–1
L. Laurent 🔁
↦ E. Jean-Lambert
89′
M. Saka 🔁
↦ W. Younoussa
89′
Mathis Saka 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2
1 Q. Braat G
25 N. Galves D
5 C. Jolibois D
4 M. Magnin D
3 R. Lipinski D
15 E. Jean-Lambert D
8 W. Younoussa M
6 J. Mendes M
26 S. Benchamma M
9 K. Nagera F
18 I. Balde F
Bench (7)
16 L. Margueron
24 L. Laurent
22 O. Joly
28 M. Saka
11 T. Arconte
13 C. Issanchou Roubiou
12 M. Corredor

Coach: Didier Santini

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 A. Ortola G
2 E. Koffi D
7 D. Gomis D
18 S. Nair D
23 D. Ourega D
11 A. Sagna M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibe M
21 F. Mbemba M
20 J. Hatchi F
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne
29 A. Abdallah
3 J. Matumona
39 T. Ahile
27 S. Kielt
6 D. N'Landu
24 G. Ott

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,24
U
3,26
B
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Florent Batta · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
34,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.