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Serie B

Benevento

U S T U T

3–1

Full-time

Livorno

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Livorno

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,7

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 42%

68%

15%

Points per game

2,3

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

35%

41%

Both score Ø 38%

35%

41%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

0,6

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

27 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 7

3 Corners 7

13 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benevento 1. · Livorno 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	34	23	8	3	+36	77
2	Crotone	34	18	7	9	+20	61
3	Spezia	34	16	8	10	+14	56
4	Pordenone	34	16	7	11	+3	55
5	Frosinone	35	14	11	10	+5	53
6	Cittadella	34	15	7	12	+2	52
7	Salernitana	34	14	8	12	+6	50
8	Empoli	34	12	12	10	+1	48
9	Chievo	34	11	14	9	+6	47
10	Pisa	34	12	11	11	+3	47
11	Virtus Entella	34	11	11	12	-3	44
12	Cremonese	34	11	10	13	-2	43
13	Pescara	35	11	9	15	-6	42
14	Ascoli	34	12	6	16	-6	42
15	Venezia	34	9	14	11	-6	41
16	Perugia	34	11	8	15	-10	41
17	Juve Stabia	34	10	8	16	-13	38
18	Trapani	34	8	13	13	-15	37
19	Cosenza	34	8	10	16	-7	34
20	Livorno	34	5	6	23	-28	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	17	13	4	0	+29	43
2	Crotone	17	11	4	2	+18	37
3	Pordenone	17	11	4	2	+14	37
4	Salernitana	17	10	6	1	+15	36
5	Frosinone	17	10	4	3	+12	34
6	Spezia	17	10	3	4	+13	33
7	Ascoli	17	9	4	4	+7	31
8	Virtus Entella	17	8	6	3	+6	30
9	Empoli	17	7	8	2	+9	29
10	Pisa	17	8	5	4	+6	29
11	Chievo	17	8	4	5	+7	28
12	Juve Stabia	17	8	3	6	+1	27
13	Pescara	18	6	8	4	+7	26
14	Cremonese	17	7	4	6	+3	25
15	Perugia	17	7	4	6	+1	25
16	Trapani	17	6	6	5	+4	24
17	Cittadella	17	6	4	7	-3	22
18	Cosenza	17	4	5	8	-4	17
19	Venezia	17	3	6	8	-9	15
20	Livorno	17	3	2	12	-17	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	17	10	4	3	+7	34
2	Cittadella	17	9	3	5	+5	30
3	Venezia	17	6	8	3	+3	26
4	Crotone	17	7	3	7	+2	24
5	Spezia	17	6	5	6	+1	23
6	Chievo	17	3	10	4	-1	19
7	Frosinone	18	4	7	7	-7	19
8	Empoli	17	5	4	8	-8	19
9	Pisa	17	4	6	7	-3	18
10	Cremonese	17	4	6	7	-5	18
11	Pordenone	17	5	3	9	-11	18
12	Cosenza	17	4	5	8	-3	17
13	Perugia	17	4	4	9	-11	16
14	Pescara	17	5	1	11	-13	16
15	Virtus Entella	17	3	5	9	-9	14
16	Salernitana	17	4	2	11	-9	14
17	Trapani	17	2	7	8	-19	13
18	Ascoli	17	3	2	12	-13	11
19	Juve Stabia	17	2	5	10	-14	11
20	Livorno	17	2	4	11	-11	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.