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LaLiga2
Malaga
S U U S T
2–0
Full-time
Alcorcon
S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 28%
25%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
20%
43%
Both score Ø 49%
38%
60%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
1 Corners 3
16 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 15. · Alcorcon 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 40 19 12 9 +13 69
2 Huesca 40 19 7 14 +9 64
3 Almeria 40 17 12 11 +20 63
4 Zaragoza 40 17 11 12 +8 62
5 Girona 40 16 12 12 +6 60
6 Elche 40 15 13 12 +9 58
7 Fuenlabrada 40 14 15 11 +6 57
8 Vallecano 40 12 20 8 +9 56
9 Tenerife 40 14 13 13 +6 55
10 Sp Gijon 40 14 12 14 +5 54
11 Alcorcon 40 12 18 10 +2 54
12 Las Palmas 40 13 14 13 -1 53
13 Mirandes 40 12 17 11 -4 53
14 Oviedo 40 12 14 14 -4 50
15 Malaga 40 10 19 11 +0 49
16 Ponferradina 40 11 15 14 -5 48
17 La Coruna 40 11 15 14 -17 48
18 Numancia 40 12 11 17 -6 47
19 Lugo 40 10 16 14 -13 46
20 Albacete 40 11 13 16 -14 46
21 Extremadura UD 40 9 13 18 -14 40
22 Santander 40 5 18 17 -15 33

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Nov -19 Alcorcon – Malaga 1–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,37
U
2,83
B
3,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,58
U2,5 ✓
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.