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Serie B
Brescia
T T U U T
3–0
Full-time
Lecce
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Lecce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 5
16 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 20. · Lecce 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cittadella 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Reggina 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Reggiana 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Lecce 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Empoli 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Salernitana 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Frosinone 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Venezia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 Pisa 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Spal 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Cosenza 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Pordenone 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Monza 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Vicenza 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Chievo 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Ascoli 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Cremonese 2 0 1 1 -2 1
18 Pescara 2 0 1 1 -2 1
19 Virtus Entella 2 0 1 1 -2 1
20 Brescia 2 0 1 1 -3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,43
U
3,20
B
2,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.