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Championship

Referee: M Donohue

Middlesbrough

T T U T U

2–0

Full-time

Cardiff

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Cardiff

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

This season — Championship · 45/45 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

33%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

38%

58%

Both score Ø 48%

44%

51%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Middlesbrough 7. · Cardiff 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	46	28	9	9	+62	93
2	Bournemouth	45	22	15	8	+30	81
3	Nott'm Forest	42	23	8	11	+31	77
4	Huddersfield	43	21	13	9	+17	76
5	Luton	44	21	12	11	+19	75
6	Sheffield United	44	21	10	13	+18	73
7	Middlesbrough	45	20	10	15	+14	70
8	Blackburn	46	19	12	15	+14	69
9	Coventry	46	19	12	15	+8	69
10	West Brom	46	18	13	15	+6	67
11	Swansea	46	18	13	15	-1	67
12	Millwall	45	17	15	13	+5	66
13	Stoke	46	18	11	17	+9	65
14	Preston	46	16	16	14	-7	64
15	Blackpool	45	17	12	16	+5	63
16	QPR	46	18	9	19	-1	63
17	Bristol City	46	15	11	20	-17	56
18	Derby	46	14	13	19	-9	55
19	Hull	46	15	8	23	-6	53
20	Cardiff	45	15	8	22	-13	53
21	Reading	46	14	9	23	-29	51
22	Birmingham	46	11	14	21	-27	47
23	Peterboro	44	8	10	26	-46	34
24	Peterborough	44	8	10	26	-46	34
25	Barnsley	46	6	13	27	-36	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	23	14	4	5	+30	46
2	Blackburn	23	13	5	5	+17	44
3	West Brom	23	12	8	3	+16	44
4	Sheffield United	22	13	4	5	+23	43
5	Derby	23	12	7	4	+10	43
6	Nott'm Forest	22	13	3	6	+19	42
7	Luton	22	12	6	4	+17	42
8	Huddersfield	21	12	6	3	+13	42
9	Millwall	22	12	6	4	+13	42
10	Bournemouth	22	11	8	3	+18	41
11	Middlesbrough	22	13	2	7	+11	41
12	Blackpool	23	12	3	8	+7	39
13	Coventry	23	11	5	7	+10	38
14	Swansea	23	10	8	5	+7	38
15	Stoke	23	11	4	8	+9	37
16	Preston	23	9	10	4	+3	37
17	QPR	23	10	6	7	+5	36
18	Bristol City	23	7	9	7	-1	30
19	Reading	23	8	5	10	-8	29
20	Birmingham	23	7	7	9	-5	28
21	Cardiff	23	8	3	12	-3	27
22	Hull	23	7	3	13	-7	24
23	Peterboro	22	5	7	10	-11	22
24	Peterborough	22	5	7	10	-11	22
25	Barnsley	23	5	7	11	-11	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	23	14	5	4	+32	47
2	Bournemouth	23	11	7	5	+12	40
3	Nott'm Forest	20	10	5	5	+12	35
4	Huddersfield	22	9	7	6	+4	34
5	Luton	22	9	6	7	+2	33
6	Coventry	23	8	7	8	-2	31
7	Sheffield United	22	8	6	8	-5	30
8	Middlesbrough	23	7	8	8	+3	29
9	Hull	23	8	5	10	+1	29
10	Swansea	23	8	5	10	-8	29
11	Stoke	23	7	7	9	+0	28
12	QPR	23	8	3	12	-6	27
13	Preston	23	7	6	10	-10	27
14	Cardiff	22	7	5	10	-10	26
15	Bristol City	23	8	2	13	-16	26
16	Blackburn	23	6	7	10	-3	25
17	Blackpool	22	5	9	8	-2	24
18	Millwall	23	5	9	9	-8	24
19	West Brom	23	6	5	12	-10	23
20	Reading	23	6	4	13	-21	22
21	Birmingham	23	4	7	12	-22	19
22	Derby	23	2	6	15	-19	12
23	Peterboro	22	3	3	16	-35	12
24	Peterborough	22	3	3	16	-35	12
25	Barnsley	23	1	6	16	-25	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.