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Serie B
Referee: Federico La Penna
Vicenza
S T S T U
3–2
Full-time
Catanzaro
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vicenza Catanzaro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,77 xG 1,74
47% Possession 53%
23 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Vicenza Catanzaro
17′
⚽ M. D'Alessandro 0–1
G. Alesi
1–1 G. Cuomo ⚽
F. Costa
39′
42′
🟨 Pietro Iemmello
Filippo Alessio 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–2
51′
⚽ B. Verrengia 1–2
Matias Antonini
53′
🟨 Jacopo Petriccione
Filippo Costa 🟨
55′
58′
🔁 M. Dorval
↦ M. D'Alessandro
L. Zonta 🔁
↦ M. Carraro
62′
A. Pietrelli 🔁
↦ L. Caferri
62′
N. Rauti 🔁
↦ F. Alessio
71′
73′
🔁 F. Tchaouna
↦ P. Iemmello
T. Corazza 🔁
↦ F. Costa
76′
C. Morra 🔁
↦ G. Moncini
76′
2–2 A. Pietrelli ⚽
T. Corazza
80′
82′
🔁 S. Giovane
↦ N. Mosti
82′
🔁 F. Di Francesco
↦ G. Alesi
82′
🔁 G. Arditi
↦ N. Koffi
83′
🟨 Marco Ruggero
3–2 C. Morra ⚽
N. Rauti
89′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Vicenza

3-5-2
16 R. Gagno G
14 G. Cuomo D
6 M. Leverbe D
5 R. Marchizza D
28 L. Caferri M
10 M. Valoti M
4 M. Carraro M
26 G. Pellizzari M
32 F. Costa M
11 G. Moncini F
24 F. Alessio F
Bench (12)
12 S. Massolo
1 M. Basso
21 T. Corazza
27 T. Sandon
33 M. Vescovi
23 N. Brighenti
29 L. Zonta
99 A. Pietrelli
44 R. Talarico
9 C. Morra
18 E. Broggian
7 N. Rauti

Coach: Fabio Gallo

Catanzaro

3-3-3-1
22 M. Pigliacelli G
24 M. Ruggero D
4 Matias Antonini D
26 B. Verrengia D
98 N. Mosti M
10 J. Petriccione M
30 G. Alesi M
27 A. Candela F
9 P. Iemmello M
77 M. D'Alessandro F
19 N. Koffi F
Bench (12)
1 C. Marietta
6 N. Postiglione
5 E. Bashi
93 M. Dorval
87 G. Esteves
14 S. Giovane
80 F. Reita
18 A. Garnica
28 F. Tchaouna
29 F. Di Francesco
7 N. Buso
91 G. Arditi

Coach: Giorgio Gorgone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,49
🔒
U
3,08
🔒
B
2,79
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,08
🔒
U2,5
1,68
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Federico La Penna · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.