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LaLiga2

Girona

T T U T S

3–1

Full-time

Vallecano

T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

1,3

3,3

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

17 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 5

4 Corners 4

10 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Girona 12. · Vallecano 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Almeria	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Fuenlabrada	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Huesca	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Zaragoza	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Alcorcon	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Albacete	4	2	0	2	-3	6
8	Ponferradina	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Vallecano	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Sp Gijon	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Numancia	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Girona	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Malaga	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Tenerife	4	1	1	2	-5	4
15	Las Palmas	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Elche	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	La Coruna	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Santander	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Lugo	3	0	2	1	-2	2
20	Extremadura UD	4	0	2	2	-2	2
21	Oviedo	3	0	1	2	-2	1
22	Mirandes	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Cadiz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Zaragoza	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Ponferradina	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Sp Gijon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Tenerife	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Fuenlabrada	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Girona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Numancia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Las Palmas	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Extremadura UD	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Lugo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Santander	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Elche	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alcorcon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Fuenlabrada	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Cadiz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Almeria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Elche	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Huesca	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Albacete	3	1	0	2	-4	3
9	Las Palmas	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Lugo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Zaragoza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Vallecano	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Numancia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Extremadura UD	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Sp Gijon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Mirandes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Ponferradina	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Oviedo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
21	La Coruna	2	0	0	2	-4	0
22	Tenerife	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.