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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Celta

S U U S T

2–2

Full-time

Vallecano

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,5

This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 25%

27%

22%

Points per game

1,1

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

54%

59%

Both score Ø 61%

62%

59%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 20

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 17. · Vallecano 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	37	26	8	3	+54	86
2	Ath Madrid	38	22	10	6	+26	76
3	Real Madrid	37	21	5	11	+19	68
4	Valencia	38	15	16	7	+16	61
5	Sevilla	38	17	8	13	+15	59
6	Getafe	38	15	14	9	+13	59
7	Espanol	38	14	11	13	-2	53
8	Ath Bilbao	38	13	14	11	-4	53
9	Sociedad	38	13	11	14	-1	50
10	Betis	37	13	8	16	-10	47
11	Alaves	37	12	11	14	-12	47
12	Eibar	37	11	13	13	-4	46
13	Leganes	37	11	12	14	-5	45
14	Villarreal	38	10	14	14	-3	44
15	Levante	38	11	11	16	-7	44
16	Valladolid	38	10	11	17	-19	41
17	Celta	37	10	10	17	-9	40
18	Girona	37	9	10	18	-15	37
19	Vallecano	37	8	7	22	-29	31
20	Huesca	37	6	12	19	-23	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	19	15	3	1	+34	48
2	Ath Madrid	19	15	3	1	+22	48
3	Real Madrid	18	13	1	4	+19	40
4	Sevilla	19	12	3	4	+19	39
5	Getafe	19	11	3	5	+15	36
6	Espanol	19	11	3	5	+6	36
7	Ath Bilbao	19	9	8	2	+7	35
8	Eibar	18	9	5	4	+10	32
9	Valencia	19	7	10	2	+12	31
10	Leganes	19	7	8	4	+3	29
11	Betis	19	8	5	6	-1	29
12	Celta	18	8	4	6	+6	28
13	Sociedad	19	7	6	6	+3	27
14	Alaves	18	6	8	4	-1	26
15	Levante	19	6	7	6	+0	25
16	Villarreal	19	5	8	6	+2	23
17	Vallecano	19	5	6	8	-7	21
18	Valladolid	19	5	5	9	-10	20
19	Huesca	18	4	6	8	-7	18
20	Girona	19	3	6	10	-11	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	11	5	2	+20	38
2	Valencia	19	8	6	5	+4	30
3	Ath Madrid	19	7	7	5	+4	28
4	Real Madrid	19	8	4	7	+0	28
5	Getafe	19	4	11	4	-2	23
6	Sociedad	19	6	5	8	-4	23
7	Girona	18	6	4	8	-4	22
8	Villarreal	19	5	6	8	-5	21
9	Valladolid	19	5	6	8	-9	21
10	Alaves	19	6	3	10	-11	21
11	Sevilla	19	5	5	9	-4	20
12	Levante	19	5	4	10	-7	19
13	Betis	18	5	3	10	-9	18
14	Ath Bilbao	19	4	6	9	-11	18
15	Espanol	19	3	8	8	-8	17
16	Leganes	18	4	4	10	-8	16
17	Eibar	19	2	8	9	-14	14
18	Celta	19	2	6	11	-15	12
19	Huesca	19	2	6	11	-16	12
20	Vallecano	18	3	1	14	-22	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.