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LaLiga2
Lugo
U U T U S
2–2
Full-time
Ponferradina
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

10 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
2 Corners 8
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 14. · Ponferradina 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 6 5 1 0 +10 16
2 Cadiz 6 5 0 1 +4 15
3 Zaragoza 5 4 1 0 +8 13
4 Alcorcon 6 3 1 2 +2 10
5 Fuenlabrada 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Vallecano 6 2 3 1 +2 9
7 Huesca 5 3 0 2 +2 9
8 Numancia 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Elche 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Tenerife 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Girona 6 2 1 3 -2 7
12 Ponferradina 5 1 3 1 +2 6
13 Sp Gijon 5 1 3 1 +1 6
14 Lugo 5 1 3 1 +0 6
15 Malaga 6 1 3 2 -1 6
16 Albacete 5 2 0 3 -7 6
17 Santander 6 1 2 3 +0 5
18 Mirandes 6 1 2 3 -6 5
19 La Coruna 5 1 1 3 -4 4
20 Las Palmas 5 0 3 2 -4 3
21 Extremadura UD 5 0 2 3 -4 2
22 Oviedo 5 0 1 4 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,44
U ✓
3,06
B
3,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.