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LaLiga2
Lugo
U U
2–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

18 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 8
11 Corners 3
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 15. · Alcorcon 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fuenlabrada 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Almeria 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Zaragoza 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Cadiz 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Huesca 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Malaga 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Numancia 3 1 0 2 +0 3
8 Alcorcon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 La Coruna 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Tenerife 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Elche 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 Albacete 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 Vallecano 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Sp Gijon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Lugo 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Santander 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Las Palmas 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Extremadura UD 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Girona 2 0 1 1 -1 1
20 Oviedo 3 0 1 2 -2 1
21 Ponferradina 2 0 1 1 -2 1
22 Mirandes 3 0 1 2 -3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
U
2,91
B ✓
3,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,47
U2,5
1,52
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.