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LaLiga2

Las Palmas

T U S T U

6–1

Full-time

Lugo

T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — LaLiga2 · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 29%

32%

26%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

42%

29%

Both score Ø 49%

52%

45%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

22 Shots 6

11 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 1

18 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Las Palmas 13. · Lugo 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	32	19	7	6	+32	64
2	Mallorca	32	19	7	6	+21	64
3	Almeria	32	18	6	8	+20	60
4	Sp Gijon	32	15	11	6	+13	56
5	Leganes	32	16	6	10	+9	54
6	Vallecano	31	14	7	10	+8	49
7	Ponferradina	32	13	9	10	+1	48
8	Girona	32	12	10	10	-1	46
9	Fuenlabrada	32	9	15	8	+0	42
10	Malaga	32	11	9	12	-9	42
11	Tenerife	31	11	8	12	+1	41
12	Mirandes	30	11	8	11	+0	41
13	Las Palmas	31	10	10	11	-9	40
14	Oviedo	32	8	15	9	+1	39
15	Lugo	31	8	12	11	-5	36
16	Castellon	32	9	6	17	-9	33
17	Alcorcon	32	8	9	15	-9	33
18	Logrones	32	8	9	15	-19	33
19	Zaragoza	31	8	8	15	-7	32
20	Sabadell	32	7	11	14	-9	32
21	Cartagena	31	7	9	15	-12	30
22	Albacete	32	7	8	17	-17	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	16	12	2	2	+23	38
2	Leganes	16	12	1	3	+11	37
3	Sp Gijon	16	9	7	0	+12	34
4	Mallorca	17	10	3	4	+15	33
5	Almeria	16	9	5	2	+16	32
6	Tenerife	16	8	5	3	+11	29
7	Vallecano	15	9	2	4	+9	29
8	Ponferradina	16	8	5	3	+5	29
9	Las Palmas	15	8	3	4	+5	27
10	Lugo	16	6	7	3	+5	25
11	Zaragoza	15	7	4	4	+4	25
12	Girona	16	7	4	5	+2	25
13	Mirandes	15	5	7	3	+3	22
14	Oviedo	16	5	6	5	+3	21
15	Castellon	16	7	0	9	+3	21
16	Cartagena	16	5	5	6	+1	20
17	Alcorcon	16	6	2	8	-3	20
18	Fuenlabrada	16	3	10	3	+2	19
19	Malaga	16	4	6	6	-5	18
20	Logrones	15	5	3	7	-6	18
21	Albacete	16	4	5	7	-3	17
22	Sabadell	16	2	8	6	-4	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	15	9	4	2	+6	31
2	Almeria	16	9	1	6	+4	28
3	Espanol	16	7	5	4	+9	26
4	Malaga	16	7	3	6	-4	24
5	Fuenlabrada	16	6	5	5	-2	23
6	Sp Gijon	16	6	4	6	+1	22
7	Girona	16	5	6	5	-3	21
8	Vallecano	16	5	5	6	-1	20
9	Mirandes	15	6	1	8	-3	19
10	Ponferradina	16	5	4	7	-4	19
11	Oviedo	16	3	9	4	-2	18
12	Sabadell	16	5	3	8	-5	18
13	Leganes	16	4	5	7	-2	17
14	Logrones	17	3	6	8	-13	15
15	Alcorcon	16	2	7	7	-6	13
16	Las Palmas	16	2	7	7	-14	13
17	Tenerife	15	3	3	9	-10	12
18	Castellon	16	2	6	8	-12	12
19	Albacete	16	3	3	10	-14	12
20	Lugo	15	2	5	8	-10	11
21	Cartagena	15	2	4	9	-13	10
22	Zaragoza	16	1	4	11	-11	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.