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LaLiga2
Lugo
T U T U U
0–0
Full-time
Castellon
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 28%
28%
28%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
31%
45%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
48%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

20 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 3
9 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 15. · Castellon 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mallorca 30 18 7 5 +23 61
2 Espanol 30 17 7 6 +26 58
3 Almeria 30 17 5 8 +17 56
4 Leganes 30 16 5 9 +10 53
5 Sp Gijon 30 14 10 6 +12 52
6 Vallecano 29 13 7 9 +6 46
7 Ponferradina 30 13 7 10 +1 46
8 Girona 30 11 9 10 -2 42
9 Mirandes 29 11 8 10 +1 41
10 Malaga 30 11 8 11 -6 41
11 Tenerife 30 11 7 12 +1 40
12 Fuenlabrada 30 8 15 7 +1 39
13 Las Palmas 30 10 9 11 -9 39
14 Oviedo 30 8 13 9 +1 37
15 Lugo 29 8 11 10 -4 35
16 Alcorcon 29 8 7 14 -6 31
17 Logrones 30 8 7 15 -19 31
18 Castellon 29 8 5 16 -8 29
19 Cartagena 29 7 8 14 -10 29
20 Zaragoza 29 7 7 15 -8 28
21 Sabadell 30 6 10 14 -10 28
22 Albacete 29 6 8 15 -17 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Oct -20 Castellon – Lugo 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
U ✓
2,98
B
3,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,58
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.