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LaLiga2

Alcorcon

T S T T T

1–0

Full-time

Burgos

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

13%

25%

Points per game

0,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 26%

38%

13%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

0,6

0,8

Conceded

2,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11 Shots 3

4 Shots on target 0

7 Corners 6

21 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alcorcon 22. · Burgos 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	9	6	1	2	+10	19
2	Sp Gijon	9	5	3	1	+4	18
3	Ponferradina	9	5	2	2	+5	17
4	Eibar	9	4	3	2	+2	15
5	Las Palmas	9	3	5	1	+3	14
6	Tenerife	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Oviedo	9	2	6	1	+2	12
8	Valladolid	9	3	3	3	+0	12
9	Cartagena	9	4	0	5	-3	12
10	Malaga	9	3	3	3	-3	12
11	Mirandes	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Lugo	9	2	5	2	-1	11
13	Ibiza	9	2	5	2	-3	11
14	Huesca	8	3	1	4	+2	10
15	Fuenlabrada	8	2	4	2	+1	10
16	Sociedad B	9	2	4	3	+0	10
17	Burgos	8	2	3	3	+0	9
18	Leganes	8	2	3	3	-1	9
19	Zaragoza	8	1	5	2	-2	8
20	Girona	9	2	2	5	-3	8
21	Amorebieta	8	1	4	3	-4	7
22	Alcorcon	8	1	0	7	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ponferradina	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Sp Gijon	4	4	0	0	+4	12
3	Las Palmas	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Almeria	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Malaga	4	3	1	0	+4	10
6	Cartagena	4	3	0	1	+4	9
7	Lugo	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Burgos	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Huesca	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Valladolid	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Oviedo	5	1	4	0	+2	7
13	Mirandes	5	2	1	2	+1	7
14	Girona	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Ibiza	4	1	3	0	+2	6
16	Amorebieta	4	1	3	0	+1	6
17	Fuenlabrada	4	1	2	1	+0	5
18	Leganes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
19	Sociedad B	5	1	2	2	-2	5
20	Tenerife	3	1	1	1	+1	4
21	Zaragoza	4	0	3	1	-1	3
22	Alcorcon	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tenerife	5	3	1	1	+2	10
2	Almeria	5	3	0	2	+5	9
3	Eibar	5	2	2	1	+0	8
4	Sp Gijon	5	1	3	1	+0	6
5	Sociedad B	4	1	2	1	+2	5
6	Fuenlabrada	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Oviedo	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Zaragoza	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Valladolid	5	1	2	2	-2	5
10	Ibiza	5	1	2	2	-5	5
11	Leganes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Mirandes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Ponferradina	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Huesca	3	1	0	2	+0	3
15	Lugo	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Alcorcon	4	1	0	3	-2	3
17	Las Palmas	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Cartagena	5	1	0	4	-7	3
19	Burgos	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Malaga	5	0	2	3	-7	2
21	Girona	4	0	1	3	-4	1
22	Amorebieta	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.