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LaLiga2
Burgos
T U T S U
0–0
Full-time
Las Palmas
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 27%
20%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 44%
20%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
20%
80%
Average goals
1,8
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

9 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 4
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 19. · Las Palmas 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ponferradina 6 5 0 1 +6 15
2 Sp Gijon 6 4 1 1 +3 13
3 Almeria 6 4 0 2 +7 12
4 Tenerife 6 3 2 1 +4 11
5 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 +2 10
6 Eibar 6 3 1 2 +0 10
7 Oviedo 6 2 3 1 +2 9
8 Cartagena 6 3 0 3 -3 9
9 Ibiza 6 1 5 0 +1 8
10 Malaga 6 2 2 2 -3 8
11 Huesca 6 2 1 3 +1 7
12 Fuenlabrada 6 1 4 1 +1 7
13 Girona 6 2 1 3 -1 7
14 Valladolid 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Las Palmas 5 1 3 1 -1 6
16 Sociedad B 6 1 3 2 -1 6
17 Lugo 6 1 3 2 -2 6
18 Zaragoza 6 1 3 2 -2 6
19 Burgos 5 1 2 2 +1 5
20 Leganes 6 1 2 3 -2 5
21 Amorebieta 6 1 2 3 -4 5
22 Alcorcon 6 1 0 5 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,56
U ✓
2,96
B
2,93
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,60
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.