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LaLiga2
Referee: Andrés Fuentes
Lugo
T T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Cartagena
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
21%
50%
Points per game
0,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

34% Possession 66%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 10
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lugo 19. · Cartagena 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 15 8 6 1 +6 30
2 Las Palmas 15 7 6 2 +9 27
3 Burgos 15 7 6 2 +8 27
4 Levante 15 7 5 3 +6 26
5 Eibar 15 7 5 3 +5 26
6 Cartagena 14 7 3 4 +5 24
7 Huesca 15 6 5 4 +4 23
8 Granada 15 6 4 5 +4 22
9 Albacete 15 5 7 3 +2 22
10 Andorra 15 6 3 6 +2 21
11 Sp Gijon 15 5 6 4 +1 21
12 Leganes 15 6 2 7 +0 20
13 Villarreal B 15 5 5 5 -1 20
14 Santander 15 4 6 5 -2 18
15 Tenerife 15 4 5 6 -2 17
16 Zaragoza 15 4 4 7 -4 16
17 Oviedo 15 4 4 7 -4 16
18 Ponferradina 15 4 4 7 -7 16
19 Lugo 14 3 4 7 -4 13
20 Mirandes 15 2 7 6 -6 13
21 Ibiza 15 3 3 9 -12 12
22 Malaga 15 2 4 9 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugo Cartagena
17′
Alfredo Ortuño 0–1
1–1 Chris Ramos
J. Cuéllar
25′
Half-time 1–1
52′
🟨 Toni Datković
Josep Señé 🔁
↦ Clavería
61′
66′
🔁 Borja Valle
↦ F. Feuillassier
Juanpe 🔁
↦ M. El Hacen
69′
Alberto Rodríguez ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
75′
Alberto Rodríguez 🟥
76′
77′
🔁 A. Sadiku
↦ Mikel Rico
77′
🔁 I. Jansson
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
C. Cotos 🔁
↦ J. Cuéllar
79′
Ángel Baena 🔁
↦ Marc Carbó
79′
Jesús Fernández 🔁
↦ Sebas Moyano
79′
Neyder Lozano 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 Sangalli
↦ D. Musto
Jose Ricardo 🟨
88′
88′
🔁 Jaime Romero
↦ Alfredo Ortuño
92′
🟨 Aarón Escandell
96′
🟥 Pedro Alcalá
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lugo

4-4-2
13 Óscar Whalley G
15 Miguel Loureiro D
21 Alberto Rodríguez D
17 N. Lozano D
12 Zé Ricardo D
29 J. Cuéllar M
4 Clavería M
22 Marc Carbó M
7 Sebas Moyano M
18 M. El Hacen F
16 Chris Ramos F
Bench (10)
8 Josep Señé
6 Juanpe
31 C. Cotos
11 Ángel Baena
34 Jesús Fernández
26 Julen Fernández
19 O. Lebedenko
32 I. Thiam
1 P. Sequeira
37 L. Antonetti

Coach: Hernán Pérez

Cartagena

3-4-2-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
4 Alcalá D
5 Pablo Vázquez D
6 T. Datković D
16 Iván Calero M
17 Mikel Rico M
18 D. Musto M
20 Jairo Izquierdo M
14 F. Feuillassier F
8 P. De Blasis F
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
Bench (12)
10 Borja Valle
19 A. Sadiku
24 I. Jansson
15 Sangalli
3 Jaime Romero
1 Marc Martínez
11 Óscar
28 Neskes
26 José Mari
23 Tejera
33 Carlos Sánchez
12 Lee Sang-Hyeok

Coach: Luis Carrión

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
U ✓
2,97
B
2,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,54
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andrés Fuentes · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.