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Ligue 2

Referee: O Thual

Metz

S T U T S

3–2

Full-time

St Etienne

U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,2

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 27%

31%

23%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

38%

69%

Both score Ø 47%

31%

62%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 19

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 10

2 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 13. · St Etienne 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	14	8	5	1	+17	29
2	Bordeaux	14	8	3	3	+11	27
3	Grenoble	14	7	4	3	+4	25
4	Sochaux	14	7	3	4	+11	24
5	Valenciennes	14	6	5	3	+2	23
6	Amiens	14	7	2	5	+1	23
7	Caen	14	6	4	4	+3	22
8	Guingamp	14	5	5	4	+1	20
9	Paris FC	14	5	5	4	+1	20
10	Pau FC	14	5	5	4	-3	20
11	Bastia	14	5	3	6	-5	18
12	Laval	14	5	2	7	+0	17
13	Metz	13	4	3	6	-1	15
14	Annecy	14	4	3	7	-2	15
15	Quevilly Rouen	14	3	6	5	-5	15
16	St Etienne	13	3	5	5	-3	14
17	Nimes	14	4	2	8	-5	14
18	Dijon	14	3	5	6	-5	14
19	Rodez	14	2	6	6	-8	12
20	Niort	14	3	2	9	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caen	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Bordeaux	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Amiens	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Grenoble	7	5	1	1	+4	16
5	Le Havre	7	4	3	0	+8	15
6	Valenciennes	7	4	3	0	+4	15
7	Sochaux	7	4	2	1	+8	14
8	Nimes	7	4	1	2	+3	13
9	Pau FC	7	3	3	1	+0	12
10	Metz	7	3	2	2	+2	11
11	Bastia	7	3	1	3	+0	10
12	Dijon	8	2	4	2	-2	10
13	Quevilly Rouen	7	2	3	2	+0	9
14	Guingamp	7	2	3	2	+0	9
15	St Etienne	6	2	2	2	-1	8
16	Laval	7	2	1	4	+0	7
17	Annecy	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Niort	7	2	1	4	-6	7
19	Paris FC	6	1	2	3	-3	5
20	Rodez	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	8	4	3	1	+4	15
2	Le Havre	7	4	2	1	+9	14
3	Bordeaux	7	3	2	2	+3	11
4	Guingamp	7	3	2	2	+1	11
5	Sochaux	7	3	1	3	+3	10
6	Laval	7	3	1	3	+0	10
7	Grenoble	7	2	3	2	+0	9
8	Rodez	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Annecy	7	2	2	3	+2	8
10	Valenciennes	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Bastia	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Amiens	7	2	1	4	-6	7
14	St Etienne	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Caen	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	Quevilly Rouen	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Metz	6	1	1	4	-3	4
18	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-3	4
19	Niort	7	1	1	5	-8	4
20	Nimes	7	0	1	6	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.