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LaLiga2
Referee: Luis Milla
Santander
U U U U S
0–1
Full-time
Burgos
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,0
1,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
27%
47%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 10%
7%
13%
Both score Ø 14%
20%
7%
Average goals
1,2
1,1
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santander 15. · Burgos 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 15 8 6 1 +6 30
2 Las Palmas 15 7 6 2 +9 27
3 Burgos 15 7 6 2 +8 27
4 Levante 15 7 5 3 +6 26
5 Eibar 15 7 5 3 +5 26
6 Granada 16 7 4 5 +8 25
7 Cartagena 15 7 4 4 +5 25
8 Andorra 16 7 3 6 +6 24
9 Huesca 16 6 5 5 +2 23
10 Villarreal B 16 6 5 5 +0 23
11 Sp Gijon 16 5 7 4 +1 22
12 Albacete 16 5 7 4 -2 22
13 Leganes 16 6 3 7 +0 21
14 Tenerife 16 5 5 6 +0 20
15 Santander 15 4 6 5 -2 18
16 Zaragoza 16 4 5 7 -4 17
17 Oviedo 16 4 5 7 -4 17
18 Ponferradina 16 4 5 7 -7 17
19 Lugo 16 3 5 8 -8 14
20 Mirandes 15 2 7 6 -6 13
21 Ibiza 16 3 3 10 -13 12
22 Malaga 16 2 5 9 -10 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Burgos
Pol Moreno 🟨
20′
36′
🟨 Aitor Córdoba Querejeta
44′
🟨 Miguel Atienza
Half-time 0–0
Iñigo Vicente 🟨
65′
66′
🔁 Miki Muñoz
↦ Raúl Navarro
67′
Curro Sánchez 0–1
Jesús Areso
Matheus Aiás 🔁
↦ S. Gassama
69′
Marco Camús 🔁
↦ Jordi Mboula
69′
75′
🔁 Mourad
↦ Gaspar Campos
75′
🔁 Juan Artola
↦ Álex Bermejo
79′
🟨 Miguel Muñoz Mora
Arturo Molina 🔁
↦ Fausto Tienza
80′
Saúl García 🔁
↦ Eneko Satrústegui
80′
Peque Fernández 🔁
↦ Iñigo Vicente
86′
86′
🔁 Pablo Valcarce
↦ Miguel Atienza
86′
🔁 Borja González
↦ Curro Sánchez
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
89′
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza 🟥
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 Miquel Parera G
23 Dani Fernández D
4 Pol Moreno D
15 Rubén González D
3 Eneko Satrústegui D
6 Íñigo Sainz Maza M
8 Fausto Tienza M
14 Jordi Mboula M
24 Jorge Pombo M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
12 S. Gassama F
Bench (12)
19 Matheus Aiás
11 Marco Camús
22 Arturo Molina
18 Saúl García
29 Peque Fernández
7 Alfon González
5 Pablo Bobadilla
26 Dali
13 Jokin Ezkieta
21 Aritz Aldasoro
17 Unai Medina
16 Germán Sánchez

Coach: Guillermo Fernández

Burgos

5-4-1
13 José Caro G
19 Jesús Areso D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
4 Míchel Zabaco D
23 José Matos D
16 Curro Sánchez M
6 Raúl Navarro M
5 Miguel Atienza M
11 Gaspar Campos M
10 Álex Bermejo F
Bench (9)
22 Miki Muñoz
9 Mourad
7 Juan Artola
8 Pablo Valcarce
2 Borja González
21 Saúl Berjón
15 Juan Hernández
3 Fran García
1 Dani Barrio

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,42
U
2,79
B ✓
3,38
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,99
U2,5 ✓
1,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luis Milla · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.