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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Andorra
T S S T S
4–0
Full-time
Lugo
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Andorra Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 44%
27%
60%
Average goals
1,9
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

75% Possession 25%
22 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Andorra 12. · Lugo 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 15 8 6 1 +6 30
2 Las Palmas 15 7 6 2 +9 27
3 Burgos 15 7 6 2 +8 27
4 Levante 15 7 5 3 +6 26
5 Eibar 15 7 5 3 +5 26
6 Granada 16 7 4 5 +8 25
7 Cartagena 15 7 4 4 +5 25
8 Huesca 16 6 5 5 +2 23
9 Villarreal B 16 6 5 5 +0 23
10 Sp Gijon 16 5 7 4 +1 22
11 Albacete 16 5 7 4 -2 22
12 Andorra 15 6 3 6 +2 21
13 Leganes 16 6 3 7 +0 21
14 Tenerife 16 5 5 6 +0 20
15 Santander 15 4 6 5 -2 18
16 Zaragoza 16 4 5 7 -4 17
17 Oviedo 16 4 5 7 -4 17
18 Ponferradina 16 4 5 7 -7 17
19 Lugo 15 3 5 7 -4 14
20 Mirandes 15 2 7 6 -6 13
21 Ibiza 16 3 3 10 -13 12
22 Malaga 16 2 5 9 -10 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Andorra Lugo
Half-time 0–0
62′
🔁 Juanpe
↦ J. Cuéllar
Iván Gil 🔁
↦ Sergio Molina
67′
M. Bundu 🔁
↦ Dani Morer
67′
Jacobo González 🔁
↦ C. Albanis
67′
1–0 M. Bundu
Jacobo González
69′
70′
🔁 Álex Ramos
↦ M. El Hacen
70′
🔁 Ángel Baena
↦ Sebas Moyano
2–0 M. Bundu
H. Hevel
74′
Rubén Bover 🔁
↦ H. Hevel
77′
3–0 S. Bakış
M. Bundu
78′
Carlos Martínez 🔁
↦ M. Bundu
82′
82′
🔁 Clavería
↦ Marc Carbó
82′
🔁 Manu Barreiro
↦ Josep Señé
4–0 S. Bakış
Mika Màrmol
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Andorra

4-3-3
1 N. Ratti G
15 Dani Morer D
5 Adrià Vilanova D
3 Mika Màrmol D
20 Martí Vilà D
7 H. Hevel M
6 Marc Aguado M
14 Sergio Molina M
2 Adrià Altimira F
12 S. Bakış F
19 C. Albanis F
Bench (12)
22 Iván Gil
18 M. Bundu
9 Jacobo González
21 Rubén Bover
10 Carlos Martínez
16 Jandro Orellana
17 Germán Valera
23 Diego Alende
30 Marc Vidal
11 Marc Fernández
26 Diego Pampín
36 Moha

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Lugo

4-4-2
13 Óscar Whalley G
15 Miguel Loureiro D
14 Xavi Torres D
34 Jesús Fernández D
12 Zé Ricardo D
29 J. Cuéllar M
22 Marc Carbó M
8 Josep Señé M
7 Sebas Moyano M
16 Chris Ramos F
18 M. El Hacen F
Bench (9)
6 Juanpe
36 Álex Ramos
11 Ángel Baena
4 Clavería
9 Manu Barreiro
19 O. Lebedenko
32 I. Thiam
20 Bruno Pirri
26 Julen Fernández

Coach: Hernán Pérez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,80
U
3,33
B
4,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,65
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.