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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel González
Burgos
T S T S T
3–2
Full-time
Villarreal B
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Villarreal B
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
60%
70%
Both score Ø 65%
50%
80%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 14. · Villarreal B 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 11 7 2 2 +11 23
2 Tenerife 11 7 1 3 +5 22
3 Zaragoza 11 6 2 3 +5 20
4 Leganes 10 6 1 3 +7 19
5 Levante 10 5 4 1 +5 19
6 Valladolid 11 6 1 4 +2 19
7 Santander 11 5 3 3 +3 18
8 Eibar 10 6 0 4 +3 18
9 Sp Gijon 11 5 3 3 +3 18
10 Ferrol 10 4 4 2 +0 16
11 Albacete 11 4 2 5 -4 14
12 Villarreal B 10 3 4 3 +2 13
13 Oviedo 11 3 4 4 +2 13
14 Burgos 10 4 1 5 +0 13
15 Elche 10 3 3 4 -5 12
16 Mirandes 11 3 2 6 -5 11
17 Eldense 10 3 2 5 -6 11
18 Andorra 10 3 1 6 -6 10
19 Amorebieta 10 2 3 5 -1 9
20 Alcorcon 10 2 3 5 -7 9
21 Huesca 10 1 4 5 -5 7
22 Cartagena 11 1 2 8 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Villarreal B
26′
🟨 Javier Ontiveros
40′
🔁 Abraham del Moral
↦ Hugo Pérez
Half-time 1–0
1–0 José Matos
Álex Bermejo
50′
59′
🟨 Álex Forés
2–0 Álex Bermejo
Curro Sánchez
63′
64′
🔁 Reque
↦ Lanchi
64′
🔁 A. Ferrari
↦ Álex Forés
74′
A. Ferrari 2–1
Jorge Pascual
Grego 🔁
↦ Álex Bermejo
76′
76′
🔁 Dani Tasende
↦ Carlos Romero
Ander Martín 🔁
↦ Dani Ojeda
77′
77′
🔁 Diego Collado
↦ Alberto del Moral
81′
🟨 Andrés Ferrari
Álex Sancris 🔁
↦ Edu Espiau
85′
87′
🟨 Jorge Pascual
3–1 Grego
89′
Borja González 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
92′
Andy 🔁
↦ E. Saveljich
92′
95′
A. Ferrari 3–2
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Caro G
6 Raúl Navarro D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
24 E. Saveljich D
23 José Matos D
7 Dani Ojeda M
14 Unai Elgezabal M
5 Miguel Atienza M
10 Álex Bermejo M
16 Curro Sánchez F
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (8)
20 Grego
8 Ander Martín
11 Álex Sancris
2 Borja González
17 Andy
1 L. Badiashile
30 Lucas Ricoy
27 Javi López

Coach: Bolo

Villarreal B

4-4-2
13 Miguel Ángel Morro G
16 Lanchi D
4 Hugo Pérez D
29 Espigares D
18 Carlos Romero D
2 Adrià Alti M
6 Alberto del Moral M
8 Carlo Adriano M
10 Javi Ontiveros M
11 Jorge Pascual F
9 Álex Forés F
Bench (12)
5 Abraham del Moral
27 Reque
24 A. Ferrari
3 Dani Tasende
7 Diego Collado
15 Marcos Sánchez
14 Aitor Gelardo
23 Víctor Moreno
21 Rodri Alonso
35 Rubén Gómez
17 Fabio Blanco
22 T. Geralnik

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,01
U
3,32
B
3,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,73
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel González · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.