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LaLiga2
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
Albacete
U U T S T
2–1
Full-time
Burgos
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Albacete Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
19 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Albacete 17. · Burgos 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zaragoza 6 5 1 0 +8 16
2 Espanol 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Leganes 5 4 0 1 +6 12
4 Tenerife 5 4 0 1 +5 12
5 Levante 6 3 2 1 +1 11
6 Santander 6 2 3 1 +3 9
7 Ferrol 5 2 3 0 +3 9
8 Mirandes 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Burgos 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Sp Gijon 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Eldense 5 2 1 2 -2 7
12 Valladolid 6 2 1 3 -2 7
13 Andorra 5 2 0 3 -3 6
14 Amorebieta 5 1 2 2 +1 5
15 Elche 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Villarreal B 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Albacete 5 1 2 2 -2 5
18 Alcorcon 6 1 2 3 -6 5
19 Huesca 6 0 4 2 -4 4
20 Oviedo 5 0 3 2 -2 3
21 Cartagena 6 1 0 5 -5 3
22 Eibar 5 1 0 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Albacete Burgos
1–0 Alberto Quiles
3′
15′
🔁 Álex Bermejo
↦ José Matos
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Esteban Saveljich
2–0 Cristián Glauder
Manu Fuster
53′
59′
🔁 Andy
↦ Miki Muñoz
59′
🔁 Dani Ojeda
↦ Álex Sancris
60′
Fer Niño 2–1
Andy
Juanma García 🔁
↦ Alberto Quiles
63′
Antonio Pacheco 🔁
↦ Agus Medina
63′
69′
🔁 Edu Espiau
↦ E. Saveljich
70′
🔁 Javi López
↦ Álex Bermejo
Lander Olaetxea 🟨
76′
Juan Antonio 🔁
↦ Dani Escriche
80′
86′
🟨 Ander Martín
T. Datković 🔁
↦ Cristián Glauder
90′
Álvaro Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Carlos Isaac
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Albacete

4-1-3-2
1 Bernabé Barragán G
22 Carlos Isaac D
2 M. Djetei D
24 Cristián Glauder D
17 Julio Alonso D
19 Olaetxea M
4 Agus Medina M
8 Riki Rodríguez M
10 Manu Fuster M
16 Dani Escriche F
21 Alberto Quiles F
Bench (8)
7 Juanma García
18 Antonio Pacheco
5 Juan Antonio
15 T. Datković
23 Álvaro Rodríguez
13 Diego Altube
3 J. Silva
20 S. Shashoua

Coach: Rubén Albés

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Caro G
6 Raúl Navarro D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
24 E. Saveljich D
23 José Matos D
11 Álex Sancris M
5 Miguel Atienza M
22 Miki Muñoz M
8 Ander Martín M
16 Curro Sánchez F
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (9)
10 Álex Bermejo
17 Andy
7 Dani Ojeda
19 Edu Espiau
27 Javi López
1 L. Badiashile
12 K. Appin
31 O. El Goumiri
2 Borja González

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,77
U
3,38
B
4,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,34
U2,5
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.