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LaLiga2
Referee: Luis Milla
Amorebieta
T T S T U
1–2
Full-time
Alcorcon
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amorebieta Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,8
1,0
Scored
0,8
0,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 18%
15%
20%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
35%
30%
Both score Ø 38%
40%
35%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

70% Possession 30%
7 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amorebieta 21. · Alcorcon 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 21 11 6 4 +18 39
2 Sp Gijon 21 9 8 4 +11 35
3 Valladolid 20 11 2 7 +3 35
4 Espanol 21 9 7 5 +10 34
5 Ferrol 20 9 7 4 +5 34
6 Santander 21 9 6 6 +7 33
7 Eibar 21 9 5 7 +7 32
8 Levante 21 8 8 5 +1 32
9 Tenerife 21 9 4 8 +1 31
10 Oviedo 21 7 9 5 +7 30
11 Burgos 21 8 6 7 +2 30
12 Elche 21 8 6 7 -1 30
13 Mirandes 21 7 7 7 +1 28
14 Zaragoza 21 7 7 7 +0 28
15 Eldense 21 6 8 7 -5 26
16 Albacete 21 6 7 8 -6 25
17 Villarreal B 21 6 6 9 -7 24
18 Andorra 21 6 5 10 -8 23
19 Huesca 21 5 7 9 -2 22
20 Alcorcon 20 4 5 11 -15 17
21 Amorebieta 20 3 6 11 -12 15
22 Cartagena 21 3 6 12 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amorebieta Alcorcon
27′
🟨 Iago López Carracedo
1–0 Félix Garreta
Josué Dorrio
34′
37′
Koldo Obieta 1–1
Jacobo González
41′
🟨 Víctor García
43′
🟨 Chema
Half-time 1–1
Manu Hernando 🟨
49′
Javier Eraso 🟨
50′
51′
🟨 Jacobo González
Javier Avilés 🔁
↦ Jon Morcillo
59′
64′
Víctor García 1–2
L. Quintero 🔁
↦ Eraso
68′
R. Edwards 🔁
↦ K. Sibo
68′
78′
🔁 Juanma Bravo
↦ Jacobo González
78′
🔁 Juan Artola
↦ Javi Pérez
M. Da Graca 🔁
↦ Daniel Lasure
81′
82′
🔁 Óscar Rivas
↦ Koldo Obieta
89′
🔁 Álvaro Bustos
↦ Víctor García
Eneko Jauregi 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 J. Babin
↦ Chiki
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Amorebieta

4-4-2
30 Pablo Cuñat G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
4 Manu Hernando D
28 Félix Garreta D
16 Daniel Lasure D
7 Josué Dorrio M
20 K. Sibo M
21 Àlex Carbonell M
22 Jon Morcillo M
9 Eneko Jauregi F
14 Eraso F
Bench (10)
19 Javier Avilés
27 L. Quintero
10 R. Edwards
29 M. Da Graca
8 Erik Morán
24 Josep Gayá
2 Jorge Mier
17 Rayco Rodríguez
11 Iker Seguín
13 Jon Mikel

Coach: Jandro Castro

Alcorcon

4-4-2
13 Lucas Anacker G
20 Iago López D
2 Javi Castro D
23 Chema Rodríguez D
19 Xavi Quintillà D
17 Víctor García M
16 Javi Pérez M
18 Y. Eteki M
8 Jacobo González M
21 Koldo Obieta F
9 Chiki F
Bench (12)
10 Juanma Bravo
22 Juan Artola
4 Óscar Rivas
7 Álvaro Bustos
6 J. Babin
28 Jaime Garrido
1 Jesús Ruiz
32 Israel García
5 Pedro Mosquera
3 David Morillas
14 Álex López
15 Javi Lara

Coach: M. Nafti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
U
3,09
B ✓
3,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,44
U2,5
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luis Milla · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.