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Copa del Rey
Referee: Andrés Fuentes
Alcorcon
S T U T T
0–0
Full-time
Cartagena
T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
0,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3 Corners 4
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alcorcon 37. · Cartagena 66.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +13 6
2 Villarreal 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Espanol 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Valencia 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Castellon 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Betis 1 1 0 0 +11 3
7 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +10 3
8 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
9 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Granada 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Valladolid 2 1 0 1 +2 3
18 Buñol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
19 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Antequera 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Elche 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Andratx 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Melilla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Cayón 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Villanovense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Alcorcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Lugo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Atlético Astorga 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Valle Egüés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Arandina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Tudelano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Terrassa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Oviedo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Atzeneta 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Boiro 2 1 0 1 -3 3
54 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -4 3
55 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
56 Deportivo Murcia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
57 Hernán Cortés 2 1 0 1 -9 3
58 Tardienta 2 1 0 1 -11 3
59 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Linares Deportivo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Cartagena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Orihuela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Zamora 2 0 1 1 -1 1
72 Rubí 2 0 1 1 -1 1
73 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Tarazona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Marbella 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
119 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Arosa 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alcorcon Cartagena
J. Lara 🟨
30′
A. Bustos 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 T. Alarcon
A. Lopez 🟨
56′
58′
🔁 Juan Carlos Real
↦ Úmaro Embaló
58′
🔁 Luis Muñoz
↦ David Ferreiro
58′
🔁 H. Hevel
↦ Mikel Rico
58′
🔁 Alfredo Ortuño
↦ L. de León
Pedro Mosquera 🔁
↦ Álex López
61′
Xavi Quintillà 🔁
↦ David Morillas
61′
Jacobo González 🔁
↦ Álvaro Bustos
61′
J. Rodriganez 🟨
65′
Chema Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Óscar Rivas
71′
72′
🔁 Iván Calero
↦ Jony Álamo
76′
🟨 J. Fontan
Javi Pérez 🔁
↦ Y. Eteki
78′
90′
🔁 D. Musto
↦ Alcalá
Dyego Sousa 🔁
↦ Koldo Obieta
93′
104′
🟨 D. Musto
1–0 Dyego Sousa
121′
122′
Alfredo Ortuño 1–1
2–1 Xavi Quintillà
123′
124′
H. Hevel 2–2
3–2 Javi Lara
125′
126′
Luis Muñoz
penalty missed
Jacobo González
penalty missed
127′
128′
José Fontán 3–3
Pedro Mosquera
penalty missed
129′
130′
Juan Carlos Real
penalty missed
4–3 Javi Pérez
131′
132′
T. Alarcón 4–4
Víctor García
penalty missed
133′
134′
Iván Calero 4–5
Full-time 4–5

Line-ups

Alcorcon

4-1-4-1
13 Lucas Anacker G
20 Iago López D
2 Javi Castro D
4 Óscar Rivas D
3 David Morillas D
14 Álex López M
7 Álvaro Bustos F
18 Y. Eteki M
17 Víctor García M
15 Javi Lara M
21 Koldo Obieta F
Bench (11)
5 Pedro Mosquera
19 Xavi Quintillà
8 Jacobo González
23 Chema Rodríguez
16 Javi Pérez
11 Dyego Sousa
1 Jesús Ruiz
9 Chiki
22 Juan Artola
29 Èric Callis
38 Bryan Osorio

Coach: M. Nafti

Cartagena

4-3-3
13 Raúl Lizoain G
47 Juan Carlos
4 Alcalá D
14 José Fontán D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
17 Mikel Rico M
32 Jony Álamo M
23 T. Alarcón M
19 Úmaro Embaló M
29 L. de León F
7 David Ferreiro M
Bench (11)
8 Luis Muñoz
10 H. Hevel
9 Alfredo Ortuño
11 Juan Carlos Real
16 Iván Calero
18 D. Musto
21 I. Jansson
12 J. Narváez
40 Mario Climent
35 Iván Ayllón
1 Marc Martínez

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andrés Fuentes · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.