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LaLiga2
Referee: Eder Mallo
Eibar
S S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Eldense
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Eldense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 9. · Eldense 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 8 5 2 1 +5 17
2 Zaragoza 9 5 1 3 +7 16
3 Huesca 8 5 0 3 +6 15
4 Levante 8 4 3 1 +5 15
5 Burgos 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Castellon 8 4 1 3 +3 13
7 Sp Gijon 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Mirandes 8 3 3 2 +2 12
9 Eibar 8 3 3 2 +0 12
10 Oviedo 8 3 3 2 -1 12
11 Eldense 8 3 2 3 -1 11
12 Malaga 8 2 5 1 -1 11
13 Elche 8 3 1 4 +0 10
14 Granada 8 2 4 2 -1 10
15 Albacete 8 3 1 4 -2 10
16 Cordoba 8 2 3 3 -2 9
17 Almeria 8 2 3 3 -3 9
18 Cadiz 8 2 3 3 -4 9
19 Ferrol 9 2 3 4 -5 9
20 La Coruna 8 2 2 4 -2 8
21 Cartagena 9 2 0 7 -7 6
22 Tenerife 9 1 2 6 -4 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Eldense
1–0 Jon Bautista
Matheus Pereira
36′
Half-time 1–0
59′
🔁 Iván Chapela
↦ Fran Gámez
59′
🔁 Juanto
↦ Camarasa
Martín Merquelanz 🔁
↦ Antonio Puertas
71′
Peru Nolaskoain 🔁
↦ Matheus Pereira
71′
75′
🔁 Y. Lachhab
↦ Sergio Ortu
75′
🔁 M. Diouri
↦ D. Đumić
Jorge Pascual 🔁
↦ Jon Bautista
78′
82′
🔁 Unai Ropero
↦ Nacho Quintana
Toni Villa 🔁
↦ Xeber Alkain
83′
K. Hashimoto 🔁
↦ Chema Rodríguez
84′
Kento Hashimoto 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eibar

3-4-3
1 Daniel Fuzato G
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
22 Aritz Arambarri D
5 Chema Rodríguez D
17 José Corpas M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
10 Matheus Pereira M
3 Cristian Gutiérrez M
7 Xeber Alkain F
9 Jon Bautista F
20 Antonio Puertas F
Bench (12)
18 Martín Merquelanz
8 Peru Nolaskoain
11 Jorge Pascual
19 Toni Villa
15 K. Hashimoto
4 Álvaro Carrillo
13 Jonmi Magunagoitia
26 Ibon Ispizua
2 Sergio Cubero
29 Ander Madariaga
32 Aitor Galarza
14 Hodei Arrillaga

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Eldense

4-2-3-1
13 Ian Mackay G
15 Fran Gámez D
4 D. Đumić D
14 Nacho Monsalve D
3 Iván Martos D
21 Álex Bernal M
6 Camarasa M
17 Víctor García M
8 Sergio Ortu M
23 Marc Mateu M
9 Nacho Quintana F
Bench (12)
20 Iván Chapela
11 Juanto
16 Y. Lachhab
7 M. Diouri
18 Unai Ropero
5 Piña
1 Dani Martín
27 N. Ogbuehi
12 Francisco Geraldes
29 Alan Godoy
24 David Timor
19 Joel Jorquera

Coach: Dani Ponz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
3,59
B
4,77
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eder Mallo · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.