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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Cadiz
U U S U S
1–2
Full-time
Eldense
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Eldense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
23 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
25 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 9. · Eldense 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 6 4 2 0 +5 14
2 Zaragoza 6 4 1 1 +8 13
3 Burgos 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Huesca 6 4 0 2 +5 12
5 Eibar 6 3 3 0 +3 12
6 Levante 6 3 2 1 +3 11
7 Malaga 6 2 4 0 +2 10
8 Mirandes 6 2 3 1 +2 9
9 Cadiz 6 2 3 1 -1 9
10 Albacete 7 3 0 4 -2 9
11 Eldense 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Oviedo 6 2 2 2 -2 8
13 Castellon 6 2 1 3 +1 7
14 La Coruna 7 2 1 4 -2 7
15 Elche 6 2 1 3 -2 7
16 Sp Gijon 6 1 3 2 +0 6
17 Granada 6 1 3 2 -2 6
18 Almeria 6 1 3 2 -3 6
19 Cordoba 6 1 2 3 -4 5
20 Cartagena 6 1 0 5 -5 3
21 Ferrol 6 0 3 3 -5 3
22 Tenerife 6 0 2 4 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Eldense
8′
🟨 Alex Bernal
20′
Víctor García 0–1
Fran Gámez
24′
🟨 Nacho Quintana
F. Mwepu 🔁
↦ Fede San Emeterio
30′
Half-time 0–1
Iván Alejo 🔁
↦ B. Ocampo
46′
57′
🔁 Iván Martos
↦ Iván Chapela
57′
🔁 David Timor
↦ Camarasa
R. Kouamé 🔁
↦ G. Escalante
58′
1–1 Javi Ontiveros
R. Kouamé
65′
71′
ℹ️ Alex Bernal
VAR: Penalty confirmed
72′
Marc Mateu 1–2
74′
🔁 Juanto
↦ Álex Bernal
74′
🔁 Y. Lachhab
↦ Nacho Quintana
75′
🟨 Fran Gámez
77′
🟨 Youness Lachhab
Carlos Fernández 🔁
↦ José Matos
80′
Álex Fernández 🔁
↦ Rubén Alcaraz
80′
89′
🟨 Marc Mateu
94′
🔁 Nacho Monsalve
↦ Marc Mateu
Álex Fernández 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-3-3
1 David Gil G
20 Iza Carcelén D
5 Víctor Chust D
24 Cristian Glauder D
18 José Matos D
17 G. Escalante M
6 Fede San Emeterio M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
10 B. Ocampo F
16 Chris Ramos F
22 Javi Ontiveros F
Bench (11)
15 F. Mwepu
11 Iván Alejo
12 R. Kouamé
23 Carlos Fernández
8 Álex Fernández
13 José Antonio Caro
33 Julio Cabrera
14 B. Kovačević
19 José de la Rosa
2 Joseba Zaldúa
7 Rubén Sobrino

Coach: Paco López

Eldense

4-4-2
13 Ian Mackay G
15 Fran Gámez D
4 D. Đumić D
5 Piña D
23 Marc Mateu D
17 Víctor García M
6 Camarasa M
8 Sergio Ortu M
20 Iván Chapela M
9 Nacho Quintana F
21 Álex Bernal F
Bench (12)
3 Iván Martos
24 David Timor
11 Juanto
16 Y. Lachhab
14 Nacho Monsalve
10 Cris Montes
19 Joel Jorquera
18 Unai Ropero
7 M. Diouri
1 Dani Martín
27 N. Ogbuehi
12 Francisco Geraldes

Coach: Dani Ponz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,76
U
3,43
B ✓
4,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,37
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.