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LaLiga2
Referee: Sergiu Muresan
Almeria
S S U S S
2–1
Full-time
La Coruna
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 34%
38%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
69%
36%
Both score Ø 64%
77%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 13. · La Coruna 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 15 11 3 1 +13 36
2 Oviedo 15 7 5 3 +5 26
3 Sp Gijon 15 7 4 4 +7 25
4 Granada 15 7 4 4 +5 25
5 Mirandes 15 7 4 4 +4 25
6 Zaragoza 14 7 2 5 +7 23
7 Levante 13 6 4 3 +4 22
8 Elche 15 6 4 5 +3 22
9 Eibar 15 6 3 6 -1 21
10 Castellon 14 6 2 6 +2 20
11 Malaga 13 4 8 1 +1 20
12 Huesca 13 5 4 4 +5 19
13 Almeria 13 5 4 4 +0 19
14 Albacete 15 4 5 6 -4 17
15 Cadiz 15 4 5 6 -4 17
16 La Coruna 14 4 4 6 +1 16
17 Cordoba 14 4 4 6 -4 16
18 Eldense 14 4 3 7 -4 15
19 Burgos 15 4 3 8 -8 15
20 Ferrol 14 2 6 6 -8 12
21 Tenerife 14 2 4 8 -9 10
22 Cartagena 14 2 1 11 -15 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria La Coruna
1–0 Edgar González
Nico Melamed
31′
35′
Pablo Vázquez 1–1
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Léo Baptistão
Álex Centelles
46′
64′
🔁 Davo
↦ J. Gauto
64′
🔁 Kevin Sánchez
↦ Hugo Rama
Arnau Puigmal 🔁
↦ Nico Melamed
70′
72′
🟨 Dani Barcia
79′
🔁 P. Martínez
↦ Sergio Escudero
79′
🔁 M. Bouldini
↦ Barbero
79′
🔁 C. Patino
↦ Cristian Herrera
R. Fettal 🔁
↦ Léo Baptistão
80′
A. Radovanović 🔁
↦ Sergio Arribas
88′
Kaiky 🔁
↦ I. Baba
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Almeria

4-4-2
13 Fernando Martínez G
17 Álex Pozo D
21 Chumi D
3 Edgar González D
20 Álex Centelles D
11 Sergio Arribas M
15 I. Baba M
27 Gui M
10 Nico Melamed M
12 Léo Baptistão F
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (10)
2 Arnau Puigmal
28 R. Fettal
16 A. Radovanović
4 Kaiky
34 Rubén Quintanilla
36 M. Perović
19 M. Milovanović
31 Bruno Iribarne
1 Luís Maximiano
29 Nacho Vila

Coach: Rubi

La Coruna

4-3-3
25 Helton Leite G
6 Álex Petxa D
15 Pablo Vázquez D
5 Dani Barcia D
18 Sergio Escudero D
22 Hugo Rama M
8 Diego Villares M
21 Mario Soriano M
14 Cristian Herrera F
9 Barbero F
16 J. Gauto F
Bench (11)
11 Davo
32 Kevin Sánchez
4 P. Martínez
24 M. Bouldini
28 C. Patino
30 Adrián Guerrero
1 Germán Parreño
29 Samu Fernández
13 Eric Puerto
37 Álex Alfaro
31 Pablo García

Coach: Óscar Gilsanz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,98
U
3,46
B
3,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sergiu Muresan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.