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Copa del Rey

Referee: Iosu Galech

SS Reyes

1–2

Full-time

Almeria

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	UD San Pedro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Salamanca UDS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
37	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
78	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
80	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	UD San Pedro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Salamanca UDS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
39	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

SS Reyes Almeria

14′

🟨 Gui Guedes

1–0 Tito ⚽

Alberto Bernardo

22′

39′

⚽ Arnau Puigmal 1–1

42′

⚽ Arnau Puigmal 1–2

Álex Centelles

Half-time 1–2

50′

🟨 Kaiky

Tito 🟨

56′

Axel García 🔁

↦ Álvaro José

63′

64′

🔁 Álex Pozo

↦ Arnau Puigmal

64′

🔁 Nico Melamed

↦ Sergio Arribas

Manolo Ortiz 🔁

↦ A. Szymanowski

74′

Ian Tejero 🔁

↦ Ariel Herrero

74′

C. Cotos 🔁

↦ Mario González

74′

🔁 Gonzalo Melero

↦ R. Fettal

74′

🔁 Lorenzo Sánchez

↦ M. Milovanović

81′

🔁 Bruno Langa

↦ Gui

Sergi González 🔁

↦ Aarón González

85′

90′

🟨 D. Lopy

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

SS Reyes

13 Pablo Brea

12 Tito

2 Aarón González

21 Yago Gandoy

14 José Ayala

8 Mario González

23 Álvaro José

20 A. Szymanowski

22 Ariel Herrero

11 Alberto Bernardo

9 Fer Harta

Bench (11)

28 Axel García

6 Manolo Ortiz

15 Ian Tejero

10 C. Cotos

3 Sergi González

25 Gonzalo Calçada

27 Jacobo de Oro

26 Iván García

4 Isma Aizpiri

1 David Alguacil

16 Diego Jiménez

Coach: Gonzalo Ónega

Almeria

Bruno Iribarne

Edgar González

20 Álex Centelles

Marc Pubill

4 Kaiky

Arnau Puigmal

6 D. Lopy

Sergio Arribas

Gui

M. Milovanović

28 R. Fettal

Bench (11)

17 Álex Pozo

10 Nico Melamed

8 Gonzalo Melero

35 Lorenzo Sánchez

24 Bruno Langa

21 Chumi

13 Fernando Martínez

26 Paco Sanz

36 M. Perović

33 Safi

34 Rubén Quintanilla

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Iosu Galech · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,7 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

24,1 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

SS Reyes

Almeria

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee