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LaLiga2

Referee: Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez

Burgos

U S U S T

0–1

Full-time

Valladolid

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

63%

25%

Both score Ø 57%

75%

38%

Average goals

2,8

1,9

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

7 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 2

4 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 28

6 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burgos 8. · Valladolid 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	8	4	4	0	+11	–	16
2	Santander	9	5	1	3	+6	–	16
3	Cadiz	8	4	3	1	+3	–	15
4	Las Palmas	9	4	3	2	+3	–	15
5	Almeria	9	4	3	2	+2	–	15
6	Andorra	9	4	2	3	+0	–	14
7	Huesca	8	4	1	3	-2	–	13
8	Burgos	8	3	3	2	+4	+3.1	12
9	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+3	–	12
10	Valladolid	8	3	3	2	+3	+2.3	12
11	Castellon	9	3	3	3	+1	–	12
12	Sp Gijon	9	4	0	5	-2	–	12
13	Ceuta	9	3	3	3	-4	-2.3	12
14	Leganes	9	2	5	2	+1	–	11
15	Albacete	9	2	4	3	-2	–	10
16	Sociedad B	9	2	3	4	-2	–	9
17	Mirandes	9	2	3	4	-3	–	9
18	Cordoba	8	2	3	3	-3	–	9
19	Granada	9	2	3	4	-4	–	9
20	Malaga	8	2	2	4	-4	–	8
21	Cultural Leonesa	8	2	2	4	-5	-3.1	8
22	Zaragoza	9	1	3	5	-6	–	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	5	3	2	0	+6	–	11
2	Cadiz	4	3	1	0	+3	–	10
3	Huesca	5	3	1	1	+2	–	10
4	Santander	5	3	0	2	+5	–	9
5	Sociedad B	5	2	3	0	+4	–	9
6	Ceuta	4	3	0	1	+2	–	9
7	Sp Gijon	5	3	0	2	+1	–	9
8	Burgos	4	2	2	0	+5	+3.1	8
9	La Coruna	4	2	2	0	+5	–	8
10	Valladolid	5	2	2	1	+4	+2.3	8
11	Almeria	4	2	1	1	+2	–	7
12	Andorra	4	2	1	1	+2	–	7
13	Las Palmas	5	2	1	2	+0	–	7
14	Castellon	4	1	2	1	+1	–	5
15	Malaga	4	1	2	1	+0	–	5
16	Cordoba	3	1	1	1	-1	–	4
17	Granada	5	1	1	3	-2	–	4
18	Albacete	4	1	1	2	-2	–	4
19	Leganes	4	0	2	2	-2	–	2
20	Zaragoza	4	0	2	2	-3	–	2
21	Cultural Leonesa	4	0	2	2	-3	–	2
22	Mirandes	4	0	1	3	-6	–	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leganes	5	2	3	0	+3	–	9
2	La Coruna	4	2	2	0	+6	–	8
3	Mirandes	5	2	2	1	+3	–	8
4	Las Palmas	4	2	2	0	+3	–	8
5	Almeria	5	2	2	1	+0	–	8
6	Santander	4	2	1	1	+1	–	7
7	Castellon	5	2	1	2	+0	–	7
8	Andorra	5	2	1	2	-2	–	7
9	Albacete	5	1	3	1	+0	–	6
10	Cultural Leonesa	4	2	0	2	-2	-3.1	6
11	Cadiz	4	1	2	1	+0	–	5
12	Granada	4	1	2	1	-2	–	5
13	Cordoba	5	1	2	2	-2	–	5
14	Burgos	4	1	1	2	-1	–	4
15	Valladolid	3	1	1	1	-1	–	4
16	Zaragoza	5	1	1	3	-3	–	4
17	Sp Gijon	4	1	0	3	-3	–	3
18	Malaga	4	1	0	3	-4	–	3
19	Huesca	3	1	0	2	-4	–	3
20	Ceuta	5	0	3	2	-6	-2.3	3
21	Eibar	4	0	1	3	-3	–	1
22	Sociedad B	4	0	0	4	-6	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.