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LaLiga2

Referee: Daniel Palencia Caballero

Burgos

U T U S U

2–1

Full-time

Malaga

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

7 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 17

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Burgos 10. · Malaga 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	7	4	3	0	+11	–	15
2	Andorra	7	4	2	1	+4	–	14
3	Cadiz	6	4	2	0	+4	–	14
4	Santander	7	4	1	2	+4	–	13
5	Eibar	7	3	2	2	+4	–	11
6	Valladolid	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.3	11
7	Las Palmas	7	3	2	2	+2	–	11
8	Almeria	7	3	2	2	+0	–	11
9	Huesca	6	3	1	2	-2	–	10
10	Burgos	6	2	3	1	+4	+3.1	9
11	Sp Gijon	6	3	0	3	+0	–	9
12	Malaga	6	2	2	2	+0	–	8
13	Leganes	6	1	4	1	+1	–	7
14	Mirandes	7	2	1	4	-3	–	7
15	Ceuta	6	2	1	3	-5	-2.3	7
16	Sociedad B	7	1	3	3	-2	–	6
17	Zaragoza	7	1	3	3	-3	–	6
18	Cordoba	7	1	3	3	-4	–	6
19	Castellon	6	1	2	3	-2	–	5
20	Albacete	6	1	2	3	-3	–	5
21	Cultural Leonesa	6	1	1	4	-6	-3.1	4
22	Granada	6	0	2	4	-8	–	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	4	3	1	0	+6	–	10
2	Cadiz	3	3	0	0	+3	–	9
3	Valladolid	3	2	1	0	+5	+2.3	7
4	La Coruna	3	2	1	0	+5	–	7
5	Andorra	3	2	1	0	+3	–	7
6	Huesca	3	2	1	0	+2	–	7
7	Santander	4	2	0	2	+2	–	6
8	Sociedad B	4	1	3	0	+1	–	6
9	Sp Gijon	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
10	Ceuta	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
11	Burgos	3	1	2	0	+4	+3.1	5
12	Malaga	4	1	2	1	+0	–	5
13	Almeria	3	1	1	1	+0	–	4
14	Cordoba	3	1	1	1	-1	–	4
15	Las Palmas	4	1	1	2	-1	–	4
16	Albacete	3	1	0	2	-2	–	3
17	Castellon	3	0	2	1	-1	–	2
18	Leganes	3	0	2	1	-1	–	2
19	Zaragoza	3	0	2	1	-2	–	2
20	Cultural Leonesa	3	0	1	2	-3	–	1
21	Granada	3	0	0	3	-5	–	0
22	Mirandes	3	0	0	3	-6	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	4	2	2	0	+6	–	8
2	Mirandes	4	2	1	1	+3	–	7
3	Las Palmas	3	2	1	0	+3	–	7
4	Santander	3	2	1	0	+2	–	7
5	Andorra	4	2	1	1	+1	–	7
6	Almeria	4	2	1	1	+0	–	7
7	Leganes	3	1	2	0	+2	–	5
8	Cadiz	3	1	2	0	+1	–	5
9	Burgos	3	1	1	1	+0	–	4
10	Valladolid	3	1	1	1	-1	–	4
11	Zaragoza	4	1	1	2	-1	–	4
12	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
13	Castellon	3	1	0	2	-1	–	3
14	Sp Gijon	3	1	0	2	-1	–	3
15	Cultural Leonesa	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.1	3
16	Huesca	3	1	0	2	-4	–	3
17	Albacete	3	0	2	1	-1	–	2
18	Granada	3	0	2	1	-3	–	2
19	Cordoba	4	0	2	2	-3	–	2
20	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	–	1
21	Ceuta	3	0	1	2	-6	-2.3	1
22	Sociedad B	3	0	0	3	-3	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.