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LaLiga2
Referee: Marta Huerta de Aza
Almeria
S U S S S
3–0
Full-time
Cadiz
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
58%
23%
Both score Ø 53%
75%
31%
Average goals
3,4
1,5
Scored
1,9
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,07 xG 0,54
59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
13 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 5. · Cadiz 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 14 8 2 4 +8 -1.0 26
2 Las Palmas 14 7 5 2 +8 +1.2 26
3 La Coruna 13 6 5 2 +12 +1.5 23
4 Burgos 13 6 4 3 +7 +2.8 22
5 Almeria 12 6 4 2 +5 +1.0 22
6 Cadiz 13 5 6 2 +2 -1.1 21
7 Valladolid 14 5 5 4 +3 +3.9 20
8 Cordoba 13 5 5 3 +2 +0.4 20
9 Castellon 14 5 4 5 +1 +0.7 19
10 Sp Gijon 13 6 1 6 -1 -0.7 19
11 Albacete 14 5 4 5 -2 -0.7 19
12 Leganes 14 4 6 4 +2 +0.6 18
13 Ceuta 13 5 3 5 -4 -2.2 18
14 Andorra 14 4 5 5 -4 +0.4 17
15 Eibar 13 4 4 5 +0 -0.5 16
16 Malaga 13 4 3 6 -1 -1.3 15
17 Sociedad B 14 4 3 7 -2 +0.2 15
18 Granada 14 3 6 5 -3 +0.2 15
19 Huesca 13 4 3 6 -6 +0.9 15
20 Cultural Leonesa 13 4 2 7 -4 -3.9 14
21 Mirandes 13 3 3 7 -7 -0.5 12
22 Zaragoza 13 1 3 9 -16 -2.1 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Cadiz
1–0 Thalys
16′
Dion Lopy 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
I. Baba 🔁
↦ D. Lopy
46′
Sergio Arribas 🟨
49′
Nélson Monte 🟨
58′
Thalys ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
65′
66′
🔁 E. Ugiagbe
↦ J. de la Rosa
66′
🔁 D. Camara
↦ A. Pascual
2–0 S. Arribas
69′
N. Melamed 🔁
↦ S. Arribas
74′
M. Luna 🔁
↦ A. Puigmal
75′
P. Soko 🔁
↦ Thalys
77′
78′
🔁 R. Marti
↦ Suso
78′
🔁 S. Ortuno
↦ M. Diakite
3–0 A. Embarba
81′
S. Clua 🔁
↦ Gui Guedes
86′
86′
🔁 A. Fernandez
↦ B. Ocampo
91′
🟨 Iker Recio
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 F. Martinez G
22 D. Chirino D
4 N. Monte D
18 F. Bonini D
20 A. Centelles D
8 Gui Guedes M
17 D. Lopy M
2 A. Puigmal M
11 S. Arribas M
23 A. Embarba M
9 Thalys F
Bench (10)
13 A. Fernandez
3 A. Munoz
5 S. Clua
6 A. Horta
10 N. Melamed
14 I. Baba
15 A. Hernandez
16 M. Luna
19 P. Soko
24 L. Robertone

Coach: Joan Francesc Ferrer Sicilia

Cadiz

4-2-3-1
13 V. Aznar G
29 A. Caicedo D
27 P. Fernandez D
6 I. Ortega D
21 M. Climent D
18 Y. Diarra M
5 M. Diakite M
11 Suso M
10 B. Ocampo M
19 J. de la Rosa M
23 A. Pascual F
Bench (12)
1 D. Gil
2 J. Moreno
7 E. Ugiagbe
8 A. Fernandez
9 R. Marti
15 S. Ortuno
17 D. Camara
24 J. Gonzalez
33 R. Pereira
34 J. Diaz Peregrina
36 I. Alvarez
28 D. Perez

Coach: Gaizka Garitano Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
3,81
B
4,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marta Huerta de Aza · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.