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LaLiga2

Referee: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo

Ceuta

U S S S T

1–2

Full-time

Leganes

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Leganes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 12/13 matches

Win Ø 33%

42%

23%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

33%

31%

Both score Ø 36%

25%

46%

Average goals

2,1

1,8

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,54 xG 1,15

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ceuta 12. · Leganes 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	14	8	2	4	+8	-1.0	26
2	Las Palmas	14	7	5	2	+8	+1.2	26
3	La Coruna	13	6	5	2	+12	+1.5	23
4	Burgos	13	6	4	3	+7	+2.8	22
5	Almeria	12	6	4	2	+5	+1.0	22
6	Cadiz	13	5	6	2	+2	-1.1	21
7	Valladolid	14	5	5	4	+3	+3.9	20
8	Cordoba	13	5	5	3	+2	+0.4	20
9	Castellon	14	5	4	5	+1	+0.7	19
10	Sp Gijon	13	6	1	6	-1	-0.7	19
11	Albacete	14	5	4	5	-2	-0.7	19
12	Ceuta	12	5	3	4	-3	-1.6	18
13	Andorra	14	4	5	5	-4	+0.4	17
14	Eibar	13	4	4	5	+0	-0.5	16
15	Leganes	13	3	6	4	+1	-0.0	15
16	Malaga	13	4	3	6	-1	-1.3	15
17	Sociedad B	14	4	3	7	-2	+0.2	15
18	Granada	14	3	6	5	-3	+0.2	15
19	Huesca	13	4	3	6	-6	+0.9	15
20	Cultural Leonesa	13	4	2	7	-4	-3.9	14
21	Mirandes	13	3	3	7	-7	-0.5	12
22	Zaragoza	13	1	3	9	-16	-2.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	8	5	1	2	+7	-0.4	16
2	Sociedad B	7	4	3	0	+7	+0.4	15
3	Eibar	7	4	3	0	+7	+0.5	15
4	Cadiz	7	4	2	1	+2	-0.1	14
5	Almeria	6	4	1	1	+5	+1.0	13
6	Las Palmas	7	4	1	2	+4	+0.5	13
7	Sp Gijon	7	4	1	2	+2	-0.7	13
8	La Coruna	6	3	3	0	+8	+1.2	12
9	Malaga	7	3	3	1	+6	-1.1	12
10	Burgos	7	3	3	1	+5	+3.1	12
11	Ceuta	5	4	0	1	+4	–	12
12	Huesca	7	3	3	1	+2	-0.4	12
13	Valladolid	8	3	2	3	+3	+3.8	11
14	Castellon	7	3	2	2	+2	+0.7	11
15	Cordoba	6	3	2	1	+2	-0.7	11
16	Albacete	7	3	1	3	-2	-0.2	10
17	Andorra	6	2	3	1	+2	+1.1	9
18	Granada	7	2	2	3	+0	+1.7	8
19	Leganes	6	1	2	3	-1	+0.4	5
20	Cultural Leonesa	6	1	2	3	-3	+0.5	5
21	Mirandes	6	1	1	4	-7	–	4
22	Zaragoza	6	0	2	4	-10	-0.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Las Palmas	7	3	4	0	+4	+0.7	13
2	La Coruna	7	3	2	2	+4	+0.4	11
3	Burgos	6	3	1	2	+2	-0.4	10
4	Leganes	7	2	4	1	+2	-0.4	10
5	Santander	6	3	1	2	+1	-0.5	10
6	Albacete	7	2	3	2	+0	-0.5	9
7	Cordoba	7	2	3	2	+0	+1.1	9
8	Almeria	6	2	3	1	+0	–	9
9	Valladolid	6	2	3	1	+0	+0.1	9
10	Cultural Leonesa	7	3	0	4	-1	-4.3	9
11	Mirandes	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.5	8
12	Castellon	7	2	2	3	-1	–	8
13	Andorra	8	2	2	4	-6	-0.7	8
14	Cadiz	6	1	4	1	+0	-1.1	7
15	Granada	7	1	4	2	-3	-1.5	7
16	Sp Gijon	6	2	0	4	-3	–	6
17	Ceuta	7	1	3	3	-7	-1.6	6
18	Zaragoza	7	1	1	5	-6	-1.7	4
19	Malaga	6	1	0	5	-7	-0.1	3
20	Huesca	6	1	0	5	-8	+1.3	3
21	Eibar	6	0	1	5	-7	-1.0	1
22	Sociedad B	7	0	0	7	-9	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.