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LaLiga2
Referee: M Orellana
Albacete
T U U S S
1–1
Full-time
Castellon
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Albacete Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 40%
35%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
45%
48%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
55%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Albacete 12. · Castellon 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 31 18 5 8 +18 -2.5 59
2 Almeria 31 16 7 8 +16 +2.2 55
3 Malaga 32 16 7 9 +15 +6.3 55
4 La Coruna 31 16 7 8 +13 +2.4 55
5 Burgos 32 15 8 9 +11 +4.1 53
6 Las Palmas 31 13 12 6 +16 +2.8 51
7 Castellon 31 14 8 9 +12 +3.7 50
8 Ceuta 32 14 5 13 -10 -9.6 47
9 Sp Gijon 31 13 6 12 +3 +1.1 45
10 Eibar 31 12 9 10 +3 +4.9 45
11 Granada 32 10 12 10 +5 +0.5 42
12 Albacete 31 11 9 11 -1 +1.8 42
13 Cordoba 32 11 9 12 -6 +2.5 42
14 Sociedad B 31 11 7 13 +1 -5.4 40
15 Andorra 31 10 9 12 -5 +2.8 39
16 Leganes 32 9 11 12 +2 +3.1 38
17 Cadiz 32 10 8 14 -9 -6.5 38
18 Valladolid 32 9 9 14 -10 +2.2 36
19 Huesca 32 8 7 17 -17 -0.5 31
20 Zaragoza 31 7 9 15 -16 -1.9 30
21 Mirandes 32 7 7 18 -20 -4.3 28
22 Cultural Leonesa 31 7 7 17 -21 -9.6 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Albacete Castellon
Martín Fernández 🟨
1′
36′
🟨 Marc-Olivier Doué
1–0 J. Betancor
A. Puertas
42′
44′
🟨 Fabrizio Brignani
45′
F. Brignani 1–1
I. Suero
Half-time 1–1
Alejandro Meléndez 🟨
60′
62′
🔁 A. Jakobsen
↦ M. Doue
J. Lazo 🔁
↦ V. San Bartolome
65′
Jogo 🔁
↦ D. Bernabeu
65′
A. Pacheco 🔁
↦ A. Melendez
65′
S. Obeng 🔁
↦ J. Betancor
73′
78′
🔁 T. De Nipoti
↦ I. Suero
78′
🔁 Tincho
↦ L. Alcazar
80′
🟨 Beñat Gerenabarrena
J. Moreno 🔁
↦ F. Gamez
80′
José Carlos Lazo 🟨
88′
89′
🔁 A. Garcia
↦ P. Santiago
Jonathan Gómez 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Adam Jakobsen
94′
🟨 Alberto Jiménez
96′
🟨 Beñat Gerenabarrena
96′
🟥 Beñat Gerenabarrena
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Albacete

5-3-2
13 R. Lizoain G
15 F. Gamez D
23 Pepe D
22 L. Lopez D
21 C. Neva D
27 D. Bernabeu D
17 A. Melendez M
8 M. Fernandez M
14 V. San Bartolome
10 J. Betancor F
7 A. Puertas F
Bench (10)
30 M. Ramos
16 J. Lazo
20 S. Obeng
3 Jogo
6 A. Pacheco
26 Capi
24 J. Vallejo
5 J. Moreno
19 A. Rubio
29 F. Gomez

Coach: Alberto Gonzalez

Castellon

4-3-3
13 R. Matthys G
22 J. Mellot D
3 F. Brignani D
5 A. Jimenez D
12 L. Alcazar D
6 M. Doue M
8 Barri M
15 B. Gerenabarrena M
10 I. Suero F
9 O. Camara F
18 P. Santiago F
Bench (12)
1 A. Abedzadeh
19 A. Jakobsen
29 T. De Nipoti
23 A. Garcia
37 C. Segura
2 Tincho
55 M. Willman
31 I. Angulo
25 Ronaldo
17 S. Ruiz
14 R. Sanchez
27 I. Fadel

Coach: Pablo Hernandez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,64
U ✓
3,46
B
2,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Orellana · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
7,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.