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LaLiga2
Referee: J Sanchez
Las Palmas
T T U U U
1–1
Full-time
Castellon
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 46%
38%
54%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
35%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Las Palmas 5. · Castellon 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Castellon 26 14 6 6 +19 +2.3 48
2 Almeria 27 14 6 7 +13 +0.9 48
3 Santander 26 14 5 7 +17 -0.9 47
4 La Coruna 27 13 7 7 +12 +3.1 46
5 Las Palmas 26 10 11 5 +9 +0.4 41
6 Malaga 26 12 5 9 +8 +0.3 41
7 Cordoba 26 11 8 7 +5 +2.0 41
8 Burgos 26 11 7 8 +4 +4.0 40
9 Sp Gijon 26 12 4 10 +2 +2.4 40
10 Ceuta 26 11 5 10 -5 -5.4 38
11 Eibar 27 9 8 10 -1 +2.1 35
12 Cadiz 26 9 8 9 -2 -1.9 35
13 Albacete 26 9 7 10 -5 +1.8 34
14 Leganes 27 8 9 10 +1 +5.2 33
15 Granada 27 7 11 9 +0 +0.8 32
16 Sociedad B 26 8 7 11 -2 -4.8 31
17 Huesca 27 8 6 13 -10 +1.5 30
18 Andorra 26 7 8 11 -9 +1.6 29
19 Valladolid 26 7 7 12 -10 +1.2 28
20 Cultural Leonesa 27 7 6 14 -14 -9.6 27
21 Mirandes 27 6 6 15 -16 -4.3 24
22 Zaragoza 26 5 9 12 -16 -2.8 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Castellon
22′
🟨 Agustín Sienra
1–0 Jese
24′
Sergio Barcia 🟨
28′
Lorenzo Amatucci 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 I. Suero
↦ Ronaldo
58′
🔁 R. Sanchez
↦ A. Mabil
V. Pezzolesi 🔁
↦ Viti
63′
65′
🟨 Ousmane Camara
71′
🔁 A. Jakobsen
↦ L. Alcazar
J. Herzog 🔁
↦ Sergio Barcia
76′
J. Viera 🔁
↦ M. Fuster
77′
I. Bravo 🔁
↦ Jese
77′
82′
🔁 A. Garcia
↦ O. Camara
85′
🟨 Agustín Sienra
85′
🟥 Agustín Sienra
S. Ramirez 🔁
↦ T. Miyashiro
88′
K. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ L. Amatucci
88′
90′
🔁 F. Brignani
↦ A. Jimenez
90′
🔁 P. Santiago
↦ B. Gerenabarrena
90′
F. Brignani 1–1
B. Cipenga
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-4-2
1 D. Horkas G
2 Marvin D
6 Sergio Barcia D
3 M. Marmol D
5 E. Clemente D
17 Viti M
12 E. Loiodice M
16 L. Amatucci M
14 M. Fuster M
18 T. Miyashiro F
10 Jese F
Bench (12)
13 J. Caro
35 A. Suarez
7 N. Benedetti
15 J. Herzog
19 S. Ramirez
20 K. Rodriguez
21 J. Viera
23 C. Gutierrez
26 I. Gonzalez
27 V. Pezzolesi
39 E. Pedrola
49 I. Bravo

Coach: Luis Garcia

Castellon

4-4-2
13 R. Matthys G
22 J. Mellot D
5 A. Jimenez D
4 A. Sienra D
12 L. Alcazar D
7 A. Mabil M
15 B. Gerenabarrena M
25 Ronaldo M
16 B. Cipenga M
21 A. Calatrava F
9 O. Camara F
Bench (12)
1 A. Abedzadeh
2 Tincho
3 F. Brignani
10 I. Suero
14 R. Sanchez
17 S. Ruiz
18 P. Santiago
19 A. Jakobsen
23 A. Garcia
29 T. De Nipoti
42 G. Terma
55 M. Willman

Coach: Pablo Hernandez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,47
U ✓
3,14
B
2,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Sanchez · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.