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LaLiga2
Referee: M Orellana
Leganes
T T T U T
1–0
Full-time
Mirandes
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Mirandes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 24%
24%
24%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
46%
59%
Both score Ø 58%
49%
66%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,37 xG 1,31
36% Possession 64%
7 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 17. · Mirandes 19.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 42 25 7 10 +29 +0.6 82
2 La Coruna 42 22 11 9 +21 +2.1 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 +18 +4.1 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 +23 +9.2 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 +17 +0.7 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 +19 +8.0 72
7 Burgos 42 20 12 10 +15 +5.3 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 +12 +6.0 67
9 Sp Gijon 42 18 7 17 +6 +1.2 61
10 Ceuta 42 17 10 15 -12 -15.2 61
11 Cordoba 41 17 9 15 -4 +6.7 60
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 +1 +1.9 59
13 Andorra 42 16 10 16 +8 +2.9 58
14 Granada 42 12 12 18 -6 -1.2 48
15 Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 -9 -8.3 47
16 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 -13 +0.1 46
17 Leganes 41 10 13 18 -9 +3.1 43
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 -20 -8.5 43
19 Mirandes 41 10 10 21 -21 -5.7 40
20 Huesca 41 9 10 22 -22 -0.2 37
21 Cultural Leonesa 42 9 10 23 -29 -12.7 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 -24 -0.1 36

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Mirandes
18′
🟨 Juan Gutiérrez
Diego García 🟨
25′
34′
🟨 Javier Hernández
Half-time 0–0
47′
ℹ️ Salim El Jebari
VAR: Goal cancelled
A. Millan 🔁
↦ D. Garcia
55′
66′
🔁 A. Martin Luis
↦ A. Houary
1–0 A. Millan
D. Rodriguez
69′
Juan Cruz 🟨
74′
E. Franquesa 🔁
↦ N. Garcia
75′
R. Pulido 🔁
↦ R. Pena
75′
C. Guirao 🔁
↦ D. Rodriguez
75′
75′
🔁 M. Pascual
↦ T. Helguera
75′
🔁 J. Martinez Landa
↦ H. Novoa Ramos
O. Plano 🔁
↦ S. Cisse
82′
83′
🔁 P. Perez
↦ S. El Jebari
84′
🟨 Unax del Cura
Marvel 🟨
96′
98′
🟨 Juan Palomares
99′
🟨 Aarón Martín
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Leganes

4-2-3-1
1 J. Soriano G
7 R. Pena D
6 G. Aguilar Lopez D
5 I. Miquel D
2 Marvel D
24 A. Diawara M
8 S. Cisse M
10 J. Cruz M
9 D. Rodriguez M
17 N. Garcia M
19 D. Garcia F
Bench (12)
31 J. Garrido
13 M. San Roman
20 O. Plano
15 E. Franquesa
23 A. Millan
4 R. Pulido
21 A. Campos
11 Duk
14 R. Lopez
12 L. Asue
22 S. Figueredo
26 C. Guirao

Coach: Igor Oca

Mirandes

4-2-3-1
13 Juanpa G
2 H. Novoa Ramos D
22 J. Gutierrez D
15 J. Cabello D
3 F. Medrano D
6 T. Helguera M
18 R. Bauza M
28 J. Hernandez M
29 A. Houary M
30 S. El Jebari M
48 U. del Cura F
Bench (12)
1 I. Nikic
10 C. Fernandez
4 M. Pascual
8 A. Martin Luis
19 N. Maras
11 M. Malsa
21 S. Postigo
17 P. Perez
24 I. Cordoba
16 S. Clua
42 J. Martinez Landa
27 T. Tamarit

Coach: Antxon Muneta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,00
U
3,39
B
3,29
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Orellana · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
7,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.