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Allsvenskan
Referee: Granit Maqedonci
Vasteras SK
S T T U S
4–5
Full-time
Goteborg
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vasteras SK Goteborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
33%
11%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
56%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–4

60% Possession 40%
20 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vasteras SK 10. · Goteborg 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 10 9 1 0 +17 +7.7 28
2 Elfsborg 11 4 6 1 +5 +1.8 18
3 Hammarby 10 5 2 3 +12 +6.9 17
4 Hacken 9 4 5 0 +5 +3.3 17
5 GAIS 11 4 3 4 +5 +1.0 15
6 Mjallby 10 4 3 3 +3 -1.9 15
7 Brommapojkarna 9 4 2 3 -1 -1.1 14
8 Djurgarden 9 4 1 4 +6 +3.3 13
9 Malmo FF 10 4 1 5 +0 -0.7 13
10 Vasteras SK 9 3 3 3 -4 -5.2 12
11 AIK 10 3 3 4 -4 -3.7 12
12 Kalmar 10 3 1 6 -4 +2.6 10
13 Degerfors 9 2 3 4 -4 -2.1 9
14 Goteborg 9 1 4 4 -10 -1.0 7
15 Halmstad 10 1 3 6 -11 -4.9 6
16 Orgryte 10 1 3 6 -15 -5.9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vasteras SK Goteborg
1′
T. Heintz 0–1
N. Tolf
8′
T. Heintz 0–2
S. Clemmensen
9′
A. Bergmark-Wiberg 0–3
R. Yeboah
15′
🔁 K. Thordarson
↦ A. Jallow
1–3 K. Gunnarsson
S. Gefvert
27′
2–3 M. Ladefoged
M. Baggesen
30′
37′
T. Heintz 2–4
A. Bergmark-Wiberg
Half-time 2–4
T. Axel 🔁
↦ M. Ladefoged
47′
3–4 T. Axel
K. Gunnarsson
53′
57′
🔁 S. Alioum
↦ B. Brantlind
57′
🔁 R. Lundqvist
↦ S. Clemmensen
J. Karlsson 🔁
↦ M. Baggesen
58′
4–4 T. Axel
J. Magnusson
66′
75′
🟨 Kolbeinn Thordarson
M. Ljungqvist 🔁
↦ K. Gunnarsson
76′
J. Ring 🔁
↦ V. Wernersson
76′
J. Tagesson 🔁
↦ M. Hellisdal
76′
76′
🔁 I. Jagne
↦ F. Ottosson
79′
T. Heintz 4–5
83′
🟨 Jonas Bager
L. Sibelius 🔁
↦ J. Magnusson
84′
84′
🔁 A. Boren
↦ T. Heintz
Full-time 4–5

Line-ups

Vasteras SK

3-4-3
34 E. Jager G
2 H. Magnusson D
4 P. Bonde D
21 V. Wernersson D
11 S. Gefvert M
30 M. Hellisdal M
8 M. Diagne M
3 M. Baggesen M
19 J. Magnusson F
9 M. Ladefoged F
5 K. Gunnarsson F
Bench (9)
25 A. Bernardini
15 J. Karlsson
17 T. Axel
20 M. Ljungqvist
10 J. Ring
23 L. Sibelius
22 L. Bark
32 M. Abdi
24 J. Tagesson

Coach: Alexander Rubin

Goteborg

4-2-3-1
25 E. Bishesari G
17 A. Jallow D
4 R. Yeboah D
5 J. Bager D
22 N. Tolf D
16 F. Ottosson M
15 D. Kruse M
7 S. Clemmensen M
14 T. Heintz M
26 B. Brantlind M
29 A. Bergmark-Wiberg F
Bench (9)
34 F. Andersson
23 K. Thordarson
11 S. Alioum
8 I. Jagne
9 M. Fenger
27 A. Boren
10 R. Lundqvist
30 T. Coimbra
35 E. Fasth

Coach: Stefan Billborn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Granit Maqedonci · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.