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Superligaen
Esbjerg
T S T T U
1–1
Full-time
Aalborg
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Esbjerg Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Superligaen · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 32%
17%
46%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
54%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Esbjerg 13. · Aalborg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 24 20 2 2 +28 62
2 FC Copenhagen 24 16 2 6 +14 50
3 Nordsjaelland 25 12 5 8 +14 41
4 Aarhus 24 12 5 7 +12 41
5 Brondby 24 12 3 9 +10 39
6 Aalborg 24 11 4 9 +12 37
7 Randers FC 24 10 5 9 +6 35
8 Lyngby 24 9 4 11 -11 31
9 Odense 24 8 6 10 +3 30
10 Horsens 24 8 4 12 -21 28
11 Sonderjyske 24 6 8 10 -12 26
12 Hobro 24 2 13 9 -11 19
13 Esbjerg 24 4 5 15 -20 17
14 Silkeborg 25 3 6 16 -24 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Aug -19 Aalborg – Esbjerg 4–0

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.