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Bundesliga

Referee: D Siebert

Paderborn

T T U U U

1–6

Full-time

Dortmund

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,5

This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 38%

14%

61%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

57%

79%

Both score Ø 57%

64%

50%

Average goals

3,1

3,9

Scored

1,1

2,6

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%

10 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 11

3 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 8

3 Offside 1

4 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 18. · Dortmund 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	29	21	4	4	+58	67
2	Dortmund	28	17	6	5	+40	57
3	M'gladbach	29	17	5	7	+22	56
4	Leverkusen	29	17	5	7	+18	56
5	RB Leipzig	28	15	10	3	+41	55
6	Wolfsburg	29	11	9	9	+5	42
7	Hoffenheim	29	12	6	11	-8	42
8	Freiburg	29	10	8	11	-3	38
9	Hertha	29	10	8	11	-7	38
10	Schalke 04	29	9	10	10	-12	37
11	FC Koln	28	10	4	14	-8	34
12	Ein Frankfurt	28	9	5	14	-7	32
13	Augsburg	29	8	7	14	-16	31
14	Union Berlin	29	9	4	16	-18	31
15	Mainz	29	8	4	17	-25	28
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	29	6	9	14	-27	27
17	Werder Bremen	28	6	7	15	-29	25
18	Paderborn	28	4	7	17	-24	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	2	2	+35	35
2	Dortmund	14	10	3	1	+34	33
3	M'gladbach	15	10	2	3	+15	32
4	RB Leipzig	14	7	6	1	+19	27
5	Leverkusen	14	7	4	3	+9	25
6	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	4	4	+9	22
7	FC Koln	14	6	3	5	+4	21
8	Schalke 04	15	5	6	4	-4	21
9	Union Berlin	14	6	2	6	+0	20
10	Freiburg	14	6	2	6	+0	20
11	Augsburg	14	5	4	5	+2	19
12	Hoffenheim	15	6	1	8	-13	19
13	Wolfsburg	15	4	6	5	+0	18
14	Hertha	15	5	3	7	-8	18
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	4	4	6	-9	16
16	Mainz	15	4	2	9	-12	14
17	Paderborn	14	2	2	10	-14	8
18	Werder Bremen	13	1	3	9	-21	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	2	2	+23	32
2	Leverkusen	15	10	1	4	+9	31
3	RB Leipzig	14	8	4	2	+22	28
4	M'gladbach	14	7	3	4	+7	24
5	Dortmund	14	7	3	4	+6	24
6	Wolfsburg	14	7	3	4	+5	24
7	Hoffenheim	14	6	5	3	+5	23
8	Hertha	14	5	5	4	+1	20
9	Werder Bremen	15	5	4	6	-8	19
10	Freiburg	15	4	6	5	-3	18
11	Schalke 04	14	4	4	6	-8	16
12	Mainz	14	4	2	8	-13	14
13	FC Koln	14	4	1	9	-12	13
14	Augsburg	15	3	3	9	-18	12
15	Paderborn	14	2	5	7	-10	11
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	2	5	8	-18	11
17	Union Berlin	15	3	2	10	-18	11
18	Ein Frankfurt	14	3	1	10	-16	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.