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Superligaen
Referee: Michael Tykgaard
Horsens
S U T T S
1–0
Full-time
Lyngby
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Horsens Lyngby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
4,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,3
This season — Superligaen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
13 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Horsens 5. · Lyngby 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Silkeborg 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 FC Copenhagen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
4 Aarhus 2 1 0 1 +1 3
5 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Viborg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
7 Brondby 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 Randers FC 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Lyngby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Midtjylland 2 0 1 1 -2 1
11 Odense 2 0 1 1 -2 1
12 Aalborg 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Horsens Lyngby
1–0 A. Jacobsen ⚽
C. Tengstedt
21′
Malte Kiilerich 🟨
28′
37′
🟨 Casper Winther
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 R. Çorlu
↦ C. Winther
57′
🔁 M. Kaastrup
↦ R. Thellufsen
57′
🔁 M. Rømer
↦ E. Nielsen
63′
🟨 Adam Sørensen
J. Gemmer 🔁
↦ C. Tengstedt
71′
S. Iyede 🔁
↦ A. Sigurðarson
71′
Lubambo Musonda 🟨
73′
Magnus Jensen 🟨
77′
79′
🟨 Mathias Kristensen
81′
🔁 S. Magnússon
↦ K. Riis
Anders Jacobsen 🟨
82′
L. Qamili 🔁
↦ A. Jacobsen
85′
M. Hannesbo 🔁
↦ L. Musonda
85′
88′
🔁 S. Ngabo
↦ M. Westergaard
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Horsens

5-3-2
1 M. Delač G
18 T. Santos D
3 M. Jensen D
4 M. Kiilerich D
21 J. Gomez D
24 L. Musonda D
6 M. Opondo M
23 D. Kruse M
11 A. Sigurðarson M
9 A. Jacobsen F
10 C. Tengstedt F
Bench (8)
14 J. Gemmer
26 S. Iyede
7 L. Qamili
19 M. Hannesbo
17 M. Lassen
8 J. Drachmann
30 M. Bobjerg
33 A. Ludwig

Coach: J. Askou

Lyngby

3-5-2
1 F. Ibsen G
23 P. Gregor D
5 K. Riis D
3 B. Hämäläinen D
20 K. Jørgensen M
22 M. Westergaard M
13 C. Winther M
10 R. Thellufsen M
17 A. Sørensen M
7 E. Nielsen F
9 M. Kristensen F
Bench (9)
97 R. Çorlu
11 M. Kaastrup
30 M. Rømer
21 S. Magnússon
19 S. Ngabo
2 M. Juhl
16 M. Kikkenborg
6 A. Bjelland
29 L. Hey

Coach: F. Alexandersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.