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Allsvenskan
Referee: M Al Hakim
Varberg
T T S T U
0–3
Full-time
Hammarby
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
This season — Allsvenskan · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
29%
57%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 29%
29%
29%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,9
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Varberg 12. · Hammarby 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 16 10 3 3 +24 33
2 Hacken 15 9 4 2 +12 31
3 AIK 16 9 4 3 +5 31
4 Malmo FF 16 9 3 4 +9 30
5 Hammarby 14 8 3 3 +16 27
6 Kalmar 15 7 3 5 +5 24
7 Mjallby 15 6 5 4 +2 23
8 Goteborg 14 6 3 5 +1 21
9 Sirius 15 6 3 6 -5 21
10 Elfsborg 15 5 5 5 +7 20
11 Norrkoping 14 4 4 6 -1 16
12 Varberg 14 4 3 7 -11 15
13 Varnamo 15 3 4 8 -11 13
14 Helsingborg 16 2 4 10 -11 10
15 Sundsvall 15 3 1 11 -22 10
16 Degerfors 15 2 2 11 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Varberg Hammarby
Oskar Sverrisson 🟨
12′
16′
G. Ludwigson 0–1
J. Nilsson
20′
G. Ludwigson 0–2
N. Besara
Half-time 0–2
Robin Tranberg 🟨
52′
T. Matthews 🔁
↦ A. Winbo
59′
D. Kunst 🔁
↦ A. Johansson
59′
A. Liljenbäck 🔁
↦ L. Le Roux
59′
J. Redenfors 🔁
↦ Ó. Sverrisson
59′
Ismet Lushaku 🟨
61′
65′
N. Besara 0–3
66′
🔁 P. Vagić
↦ A. Saidi
66′
🔁 David Concha
↦ J. Nilsson
J. Sundström 🔁
↦ R. Tranberg
67′
73′
🟨 Jeppe Andersen
78′
🔁 A. Demirol
↦ J. Andersen
83′
🔁 J. Erabi
↦ G. Ludwigson
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Varberg

4-5-1
29 F. Andersson G
18 J. Lindner D
5 Ó. Sverrisson D
20 T. Carlsson D
7 R. Tranberg M
8 L. Le Roux M
6 A. Winbo M
17 I. Lushaku M
22 A. Boman D
16 A. Johansson M
35 D. Krasniqi F
Bench (7)
10 T. Matthews
32 D. Kunst
23 A. Liljenbäck
34 J. Redenfors
30 J. Sundström
1 P. Mårtensson
11 Eliton Júnior

Coach: J. Persson

Hammarby

4-3-3
25 D. Blažević G
13 M. Fenger D
2 S. Sandberg D
22 J. Nilsson F
30 S. Pinas D
21 E. Kurtulus D
20 N. Besara M
6 D. Bojanić M
8 J. Andersen M
40 A. Saidi F
16 G. Ludwigson F
Bench (7)
15 P. Vagić
17 David Concha
34 A. Demirol
19 J. Erabi
24 O. Dovin
5 Mohanad Jeahze
18 L. Sadiku

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.