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Superligaen

Referee: J Karlsen

Randers FC

T U S S T

0–1

Full-time

Midtjylland

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Randers FC Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,5

Scored

0,8

2,7

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 45%

25%

65%

Points per game

1,1

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 58%

55%

60%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

1,1

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,38 xG 1,71

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Randers FC 9. · Midtjylland 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	21	13	5	3	+21	+5.9	44
2	FC Copenhagen	21	13	3	5	+20	+17.1	42
3	Midtjylland	20	13	3	4	+16	+10.3	42
4	Nordsjaelland	21	10	6	5	+14	+6.2	36
5	Aarhus	21	8	9	4	+4	+3.7	33
6	Silkeborg	21	8	3	10	-1	+6.7	27
7	Odense	21	6	6	9	-5	-6.0	24
8	Viborg	21	6	5	10	-11	-5.6	23
9	Randers FC	20	5	7	8	-13	-3.0	22
10	Lyngby	21	5	5	11	-14	-4.1	20
11	Vejle	21	4	7	10	-4	-15.3	19
12	Hvidovre IF	21	2	5	14	-27	-16.1	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	10	7	2	1	+12	+5.6	23
2	FC Copenhagen	11	7	1	3	+13	+13.2	22
3	Nordsjaelland	10	6	3	1	+11	+5.9	21
4	Brondby	10	6	2	2	+10	+6.7	20
5	Viborg	11	5	3	3	+3	-1.6	18
6	Silkeborg	11	5	2	4	+3	+7.4	17
7	Aarhus	10	4	3	3	-1	+3.0	15
8	Lyngby	10	3	4	3	+1	+1.2	13
9	Randers FC	10	3	4	3	-5	+1.2	13
10	Vejle	11	3	3	5	+0	-4.7	12
11	Odense	10	0	3	7	-12	-1.9	3
12	Hvidovre IF	11	0	2	9	-19	-4.8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	11	7	3	1	+11	-0.8	24
2	Odense	11	6	3	2	+7	-4.0	21
3	FC Copenhagen	10	6	2	2	+7	+4.0	20
4	Midtjylland	10	6	1	3	+4	+4.7	19
5	Aarhus	11	4	6	1	+5	+0.7	18
6	Nordsjaelland	11	4	3	4	+3	+0.3	15
7	Silkeborg	10	3	1	6	-4	-0.6	10
8	Randers FC	10	2	3	5	-8	-4.1	9
9	Hvidovre IF	10	2	3	5	-8	-11.3	9
10	Vejle	10	1	4	5	-4	-10.6	7
11	Lyngby	11	2	1	8	-15	-5.2	7
12	Viborg	10	1	2	7	-14	-4.0	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.